La scuola delle quote

Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners

Inizio: 2026-03-21 06:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Melbourne Victory (Casa)

Previsione 66.73%1.50quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -2.23%
Kelly -7.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.75%66.55%66.82%68.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.311.391.401.4576.34%71.99%71.43%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Central Coast Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.21%7.04quota equa
EV +6.55%
Vantaggio +0.874%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescita +0.066%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.49%14.28%14.27%15.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.606.706.757.5017.86%14.92%14.81%13.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.06%5.25quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -0.431%
Kelly -0.535%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.60%19.17%18.91%21.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.794.805.1325.00%20.87%20.83%19.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -2.78%E -0.545%K -0.678%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 05:20
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 05:20
Unibet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -8.58%E -6.26%K -23.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 05:20
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.47%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.61%EV +0.727%E +0.103%K +0.119%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -2.78%E -0.545%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 05:45
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.80%EV -2.21%E -0.431%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 05:45
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.80%EV -2.21%E -0.431%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 05:45
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 07:50
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 05:40
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 05:40
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:20
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:20
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:20
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:20
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:20
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 05:20
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 05:20
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 05:20
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -11.92%E -9.03%K -37.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -11.92%E -9.03%K -37.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 01:54
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.10%EV -10.79%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 05:20
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 05:40
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 05:40
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 05:39
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 05:45
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 05:20
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -10.58%E -7.90%K -31.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 05:20
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -4.81%E -0.718%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 05:45
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.86%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -6.23%E -0.945%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 05:40
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -3.24%E -2.23%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 05:45
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 05:45
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 05:45
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 05:45
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 05:45
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 05:45
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 07:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 05:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.25%E -8.46%K -34.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -23.75%E -5.94%K -7.92%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-21 05:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.21%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 05:45
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.21%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 05:45
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 05:40
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 05:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 05:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 05:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 05:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -9.91%E -7.34%K -28.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 05:45
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 66.25%EV -12.58%E -9.61%K -40.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.46%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 05:40
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.17%EV -9.91%E -7.34%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -20.44%E -3.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 05:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-03-21 05:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-03-21 05:45
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.29%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.0%2026-03-21 05:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-03-21 05:40
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.94%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.87%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%2.2%2026-03-21 05:40
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%2.9%2026-03-21 05:20