La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Predicción 66.73%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -2.23%
Kelly -7.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.75%66.55%66.82%68.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.311.391.401.4576.34%71.99%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Central Coast Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 14.21%7.04momio equitativo
EV +6.55%
Ventaja +0.874%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.066%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.49%14.28%14.27%15.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.606.706.757.5017.86%14.92%14.81%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.06%5.25momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.431%
Kelly -0.535%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.60%19.17%18.91%21.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.794.805.1325.00%20.87%20.83%19.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -2.78%E -0.545%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -8.58%E -6.26%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.47%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.61%EV +0.727%E +0.103%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -2.78%E -0.545%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.80%EV -2.21%E -0.431%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.80%EV -2.21%E -0.431%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 07:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -11.92%E -9.03%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -11.92%E -9.03%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.10%EV -10.79%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -10.58%E -7.90%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -4.81%E -0.718%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.86%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -6.23%E -0.945%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -3.24%E -2.23%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 07:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.25%E -8.46%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -23.75%E -5.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-21 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.21%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.21%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -9.91%E -7.34%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.25%EV -12.58%E -9.61%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.46%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.17%EV -9.91%E -7.34%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -20.44%E -3.65%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.29% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.94% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.87% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |