L’École des cotesFrançais
Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Prévision 66.73%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -2.23%
Kelly -7.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.75%66.55%66.82%68.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.311.391.401.4576.34%71.99%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Central Coast Mariners (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.21%7.04cote équitable
EV +6.55%
Avantage +0.874%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.066%
avec la cote maximale 7.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.49%14.28%14.27%15.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.606.706.757.5017.86%14.92%14.81%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.06%5.25cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.431%
Kelly -0.535%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.60%19.17%18.91%21.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.794.805.1325.00%20.87%20.83%19.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.75%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.65%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.60%EV -2.78%E -0.545%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Unibet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.39%EV -8.58%E -6.26%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV +6.55%E +0.874%K +1.01%G +0.066% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.47%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.61%EV +0.727%E +0.103%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -2.78%E -0.545%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.80%EV -2.21%E -0.431%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.20%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.80%EV -2.21%E -0.431%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.99%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.59%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 07:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.25%E -6.80%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -11.92%E -9.03%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -11.92%E -9.03%K -37.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -0.552%E -0.079%K -0.092%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-21 01:54 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.64%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.10%EV -10.79%E -2.30%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -1.97%E -0.286%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.97%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.83%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -10.58%E -7.90%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -4.10%E -0.608%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV -4.81%E -0.718%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.86%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -6.23%E -0.945%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| TAB | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -3.24%E -2.23%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.50%E -1.77%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.24%E -3.69%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -5.91%E -4.19%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 07:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -11.25%E -8.46%K -34.09%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -7.65%E -1.18%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -23.75%E -5.94%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-21 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.21%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.91%E -2.71%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.21%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -7.91%E -5.73%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -6.59%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.58%E -4.70%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -9.91%E -7.34%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.25%EV -12.58%E -9.61%K -40.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.46%EV -14.76%E -2.46%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.17%EV -9.91%E -7.34%K -28.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -20.44%E -3.65%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.29% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.94% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.87% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 05:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.93% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 05:20 |