Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Macarthur FC v Newcastle Jets FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 08:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Macarthur FC (Local)

Prévision 42.01%2.38cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -0.944%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%41.76%42.27%43.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.242.252.3550.00%44.57%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Newcastle Jets FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.30%2.92cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.792%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.01%34.48%34.13%38.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.662.632.8543.48%37.54%38.02%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV -0.489%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.153%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.98%23.76%23.60%25.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.893.904.2030.77%25.73%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Macarthur FC (Local) : 42.01% ; Newcastle Jets FC (Visiteur) : 34.30% ; Match nul : 23.69%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.22. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.20, pour une espérance de -0.489% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 07:59
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -10.83%E -4.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 08:00
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -11.52%E -4.46%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 07:48
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.17%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.04%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.79%EV -4.04%E -0.998%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -2.11%E -0.907%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 08:00
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -2.86%E -0.697%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 08:00
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:00
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 08:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 08:00
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -10.83%E -4.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 08:00
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 07:59
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:58
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -2.26%E -0.792%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.47%EV -2.38%E -0.579%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -0.489%E -0.116%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 07:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -0.489%E -0.116%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 07:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 07:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.30%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 08:00
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 07:58
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 07:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 08:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 07:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -21.12%E -9.18%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-27 08:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.25%EV -5.90%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 07:59
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 07:59
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 07:59
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:00
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 07:59
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 07:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 07:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 07:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -8.00%E -3.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 08:00
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.19%EV -8.42%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 07:58
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.41%EV -14.95%E -6.03%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-02 07:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.40%EV -11.78%E -5.61%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -14.26%E -5.70%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -13.52%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-02 07:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.54%EV -13.88%E -6.77%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.20%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-02 07:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.09%EV -15.98%E -7.99%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.01%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.90%EV -23.00%E -7.08%K -10.22%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-02 08:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-04-02 08:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-04-02 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-02 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-02 08:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-02 08:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%5.0%2026-04-02 07:39