La escuela de los momiosMacarthur FC v Newcastle Jets FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Macarthur FC (Local)
Predicción 42.01%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -0.944%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%41.76%42.27%43.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.242.252.3550.00%44.57%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newcastle Jets FC (Visitante)
Predicción 34.30%2.92momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.01%34.48%34.13%38.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.662.632.8543.48%37.54%38.02%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.69%4.22momio equitativo
EV -0.489%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.153%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.98%23.76%23.60%25.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.893.904.2030.77%25.73%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -10.83%E -4.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -11.52%E -4.46%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 07:48 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.17%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.04%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.79%EV -4.04%E -0.998%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -2.11%E -0.907%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -2.86%E -0.697%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -10.83%E -4.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:58 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -2.26%E -0.792%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.47%EV -2.38%E -0.579%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -0.489%E -0.116%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -0.489%E -0.116%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.30%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 07:58 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -21.12%E -9.18%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-27 08:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.25%EV -5.90%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -8.00%E -3.65%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.19%EV -8.42%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 07:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.41%EV -14.95%E -6.03%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.40%EV -11.78%E -5.61%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -14.26%E -5.70%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -13.52%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.54%EV -13.88%E -6.77%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.20%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-02 07:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.09%EV -15.98%E -7.99%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.01%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.90%EV -23.00%E -7.08%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-02 08:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.19% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 07:39 |