مدرسة الاحتمالات

Macarthur FC v Newcastle Jets FC

البداية: 2026-04-02 08:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Macarthur FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.01%2.38السعر العادل
EV -1.27%
الأفضلية -0.542%
Kelly -0.944%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.90%41.76%42.27%43.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.242.252.3550.00%44.57%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Newcastle Jets FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.30%2.92السعر العادل
EV -2.26%
الأفضلية -0.792%
Kelly -1.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.01%34.48%34.13%38.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.662.632.8543.48%37.54%38.02%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.69%4.22السعر العادل
EV -0.489%
الأفضلية -0.116%
Kelly -0.153%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.98%23.76%23.60%25.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.893.904.2030.77%25.73%25.64%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 07:59
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -10.83%E -4.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 08:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -1.27%E -0.542%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.46%EV -11.52%E -4.46%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 07:48
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.17%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.04%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.79%EV -4.04%E -0.998%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 08:00
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89%EV -2.11%E -0.907%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 08:00
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.71%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.89%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.40%EV -2.86%E -0.697%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 08:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -7.40%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:00
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 08:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.49%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.53%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 08:00
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -10.83%E -4.17%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 08:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 07:59
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:58
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.21%E -1.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.60%EV -4.64%E -2.04%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -2.26%E -0.792%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.47%EV -2.38%E -0.579%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 08:00
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -0.489%E -0.116%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 07:59
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.11%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.98%EV -0.489%E -0.116%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 07:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 07:59
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.30%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 08:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 07:58
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 07:59
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 08:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.54%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.14%E -3.87%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 07:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -5.48%E -2.43%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -21.12%E -9.18%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-27 08:40
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.25%EV -5.90%E -2.63%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 07:59
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 07:59
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.74%E -3.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -4.66%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 07:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:00
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 07:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.60%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -3.97%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 07:59
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -9.97%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 07:59
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 07:59
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -7.58%E -3.44%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 07:59
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -8.00%E -3.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 08:00
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.19%EV -8.42%E -3.86%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.27%EV -2.94%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 08:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.23%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 08:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 07:58
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -9.68%E -4.50%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.41%EV -14.95%E -6.03%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.34%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-02 07:59
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.40%EV -11.78%E -5.61%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -14.26%E -5.70%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -13.52%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-02 07:59
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.54%EV -13.88%E -6.77%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.20%EV -12.55%E -4.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -11.15%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-02 07:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.09%EV -15.98%E -7.99%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.01%EV -9.80%E -3.73%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.90%EV -23.00%E -7.08%K -10.22%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-02 08:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.03%1.0%2026-04-02 08:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.1%2026-04-02 08:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-02 08:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-02 08:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.27%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-02 08:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%5.0%2026-04-02 07:39