Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Coast Mariners v Western Sydney Wanderers

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 06:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Coast Mariners (Local)

Prediction 21.96%4.55fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.342%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.94%22.00%21.97%23.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.174.104.5026.32%23.96%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit)

Prediction 54.65%1.83fair odd
EV -0.535%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.653%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.39%54.55%54.61%55.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.731.731.8262.50%57.82%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.39%4.27fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.622%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%23.44%23.42%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.893.904.1929.41%25.69%25.64%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Coast Mariners (Local): 21.96%; Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit): 54.65%; Draw: 23.39%. For Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -0.535%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 01:19
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 01:19
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 01:50
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -2.29%E -0.516%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 03:20
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -2.29%E -0.516%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 03:19
Pinnacle🎯4.41I 22.68%NM 21.87%EV -3.17%E -0.719%K -0.930%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.11%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.02%EV -1.98%E -0.473%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -3.39%E -0.771%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.59%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -3.62%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 15:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -3.39%E -0.771%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.59%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -3.62%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 15:09
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -3.39%E -0.771%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:50
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Betr (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.88%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 01:25
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 02:55
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -5.26%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 03:20
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 01:15
TAB🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.08%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 03:20
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -5.26%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 03:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 02:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.45%EV -6.90%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:35
GTbets🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.45%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.32%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.22%EV -4.79%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 03:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -0.535%E -0.294%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-20 05:45
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 10:50
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 02:49
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 01:50
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:34
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:45
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.08%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.13%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 10:50
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 10:49
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:50
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -11.47%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -20.46%E -6.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 03:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -13.27%E -3.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.45%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.62%E -4.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -13.27%E -3.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.45%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.62%E -4.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -14.37%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.44%EV -12.56%E -7.85%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 03:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.51%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-22 02:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-02-22 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-02-22 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-02-22 03:10
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-02-22 02:50
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-02-22 03:10