La escuela de los momios

Central Coast Mariners v Western Sydney Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-02-22 06:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Central Coast Mariners (Local)

Predicción 21.96%4.55momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.94%22.00%21.97%23.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.174.104.5026.32%23.96%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Western Sydney Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 54.65%1.83momio equitativo
EV -0.535%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.653%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.39%54.55%54.61%55.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.731.731.8262.50%57.82%57.80%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.39%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.622%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.79%23.44%23.42%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.893.904.1929.41%25.69%25.64%23.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 01:19
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.65%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 01:19
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -1.20%E -0.266%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 01:50
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -2.29%E -0.516%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 03:20
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -2.29%E -0.516%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 03:19
Pinnacle4.41I 22.68%NM 21.87%EV -3.17%E -0.719%K -0.930%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.11%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.02%EV -1.98%E -0.473%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 03:05
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -3.39%E -0.771%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.59%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -3.62%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 15:10
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.96%EV -3.39%E -0.771%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.59%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -3.62%E -0.879%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 15:09
Coolbet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -3.39%E -0.771%K -0.998%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.09%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 16:50
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Betr (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.93%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.88%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 01:25
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.36%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 02:55
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.20%EV -5.26%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 03:20
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-22 01:15
TAB4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.08%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 03:20
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.21%EV -5.26%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 03:30
Unibet (UK)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 02:50
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.59%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.45%EV -6.90%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -6.69%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:35
GTbets4.21I 23.75%NM 22.45%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.32%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.22%EV -4.79%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 03:10
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -0.535%E -0.294%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-20 05:45
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 10:50
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -4.09%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 02:49
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -7.78%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-22 01:50
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:34
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:45
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.98%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.08%E -2.74%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.13%EV -9.83%E -5.96%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-22 02:55
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 10:50
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 10:49
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:50
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:50
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-22 02:50
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -8.19%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.17%E -3.04%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -11.47%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -20.46%E -6.02%K -8.53%G +0.000%16.1%2026-02-22 03:00
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -13.27%E -3.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.45%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.62%E -4.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -13.27%E -3.36%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.45%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.62%E -4.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-20 05:35
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.33%EV -14.37%E -3.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.44%EV -12.56%E -7.85%K -20.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.23%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 03:25
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.57%E -4.36%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.51%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -12.28%E -3.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-22 02:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-02-22 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-02-22 03:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-02-22 03:10
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-02-22 02:50
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.67%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-02-22 03:10