A Escola das Odds

Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets FC

Início: 2026-02-28 06:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Central Coast Mariners (Local)

Previsão 22.30%4.48odd justa
EV +9.26%
Vantagem +1.89%
Kelly +2.37%
Crescimento +0.220%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.37%22.38%22.31%23.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.854.324.234.9025.97%23.16%23.61%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newcastle Jets FC (Visitante)

Previsão 56.23%1.78odd justa
EV -4.41%
Vantagem -2.59%
Kelly -6.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.50%56.08%56.36%60.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.511.641.651.7066.23%61.13%60.42%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.47%4.66odd justa
EV +0.924%
Vantagem +0.197%
Kelly +0.250%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.19%21.55%21.33%22.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.954.354.404.7025.32%22.97%22.73%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 06:00
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 06:00
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 06:00
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV +0.924%E +0.197%K +0.250%G +0.002%5.4%2026-02-28 06:00
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +7.03%E +1.46%K +1.85%G +0.130%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV +7.03%E +1.46%K +1.85%G +0.130%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 06:00
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 05:59
Grosvenor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:00
Unibet (NL)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:59
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:00
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV +2.57%E +0.559%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -14.53%E -9.56%K -27.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 05:59
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV +2.57%E +0.559%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.54%EV -15.09%E -10.00%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 06:00
BetOnline.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.15%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV -0.794%E -0.172%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 05:59
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.15%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV -0.794%E -0.172%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 05:59
Pinnacle4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.94%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.19%EV -2.51%E -0.553%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Coolbet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.15%EV -3.00%E -0.690%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.68%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -2.30%E -0.505%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 05:58
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.60%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 06:00
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 05:59
Betr (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 06:00
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.54%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 05:59
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 05:59
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
GTbets4.22I 23.70%NM 22.34%EV -5.90%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.79%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.87%EV -7.45%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 05:59
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 05:58
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 06:00
DraftKings4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 06:00
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 05:59
PMU (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 05:59
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Bovada4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.69%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 05:59
BetUS4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.69%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 05:59
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:59
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 05:59
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 06:00
Parions Sport (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.36%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.55%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 05:59
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.87%EV -12.85%E -8.29%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.92%EV -15.18%E -3.84%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 05:59
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -14.15%E -3.68%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-28 06:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-02-28 05:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.29%2.1%2026-02-28 05:59