La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Central Coast Mariners (Local)
Predicción 22.30%4.48momio equitativo
EV +9.26%
Ventaja +1.89%
Kelly +2.37%
Crecimiento +0.220%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.37%22.38%22.31%23.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.324.234.9025.97%23.16%23.61%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newcastle Jets FC (Visitante)
Predicción 56.23%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -6.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.50%56.08%56.36%60.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.641.651.7066.23%61.13%60.42%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.47%4.66momio equitativo
EV +0.924%
Ventaja +0.197%
Kelly +0.250%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.19%21.55%21.33%22.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.354.404.7025.32%22.97%22.73%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV +0.924%E +0.197%K +0.250%G +0.002% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +7.03%E +1.46%K +1.85%G +0.130% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV +7.03%E +1.46%K +1.85%G +0.130% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Grosvenor | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| betPARX | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV +2.57%E +0.559%K +0.714%G +0.018% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -14.53%E -9.56%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| LeoVegas | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV +2.57%E +0.559%K +0.714%G +0.018% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.54%EV -15.09%E -10.00%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.15%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV -0.794%E -0.172%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.15%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV -0.794%E -0.172%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.94%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.19%EV -2.51%E -0.553%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Coolbet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.15%EV -3.00%E -0.690%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.68%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -2.30%E -0.505%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 05:58 |
| SportsBet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.60%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.54%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| GTbets | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.34%EV -5.90%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.79%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 21.87%EV -7.45%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 05:58 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Bovada | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.69%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| BetUS | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.69%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Everygame | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.36%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.55%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.87%EV -12.85%E -8.29%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.92%EV -15.18%E -3.84%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -14.15%E -3.68%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-28 06:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.29% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 05:59 |