Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 06:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Central Coast Mariners (Local)

Prévision 22.30%4.48cote équitable
EV +9.26%
Avantage +1.89%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.220%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.37%22.38%22.31%23.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.324.234.9025.97%23.16%23.61%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Newcastle Jets FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.23%1.78cote équitable
EV -4.41%
Avantage -2.59%
Kelly -6.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.50%56.08%56.36%60.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.641.651.7066.23%61.13%60.42%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.47%4.66cote équitable
EV +0.924%
Avantage +0.197%
Kelly +0.250%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.19%21.55%21.33%22.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.354.404.7025.32%22.97%22.73%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Central Coast Mariners (Local) : 22.30% ; Newcastle Jets FC (Visiteur) : 56.23% ; Match nul : 21.47%. Pour Central Coast Mariners (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.48. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.90, soit une espérance positive de +9.26%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 06:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 06:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.72%EV -10.03%E -6.27%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV -1.22%E -0.266%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 06:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV +9.26%E +1.89%K +2.37%G +0.220%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.44%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV +0.924%E +0.197%K +0.250%G +0.002%5.4%2026-02-28 06:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +7.03%E +1.46%K +1.85%G +0.130%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.51%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV +7.03%E +1.46%K +1.85%G +0.130%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 06:00
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 05:59
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:00
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:59
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:00
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV +5.92%E +1.25%K +1.58%G +0.093%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -12.28%E -7.87%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62%EV +2.57%E +0.559%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39%EV -14.53%E -9.56%K -27.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 05:59
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV +2.57%E +0.559%K +0.714%G +0.018%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.54%EV -15.09%E -10.00%K -29.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 06:00
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.15%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV -0.794%E -0.172%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 05:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.15%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.90%EV -0.794%E -0.172%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 05:59
Pinnacle🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%EV -1.89%E -0.429%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.94%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.19%EV -2.51%E -0.553%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Coolbet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.15%EV -3.00%E -0.690%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.68%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.18%EV -2.30%E -0.505%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 05:58
SportsBet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.60%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 06:00
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.37%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 05:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -3.45%E -0.797%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.32%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 06:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.54%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 05:59
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 05:59
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
GTbets🎯4.22I 23.70%NM 22.34%EV -5.90%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.79%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.87%EV -7.45%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 05:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 05:58
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.37%E -0.749%K -0.963%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 06:00
DraftKings🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 06:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 05:59
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.96%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.67%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 05:59
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Bovada🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.69%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 05:59
BetUS🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -9.69%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 05:59
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -5.52%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 05:59
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 05:59
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 05:59
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -4.41%E -2.59%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.74%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 06:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.36%EV -11.92%E -3.02%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.55%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 05:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 55.87%EV -12.85%E -8.29%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.92%EV -15.18%E -3.84%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 05:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.73%EV -14.15%E -3.68%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 55.39%EV -11.16%E -7.06%K -19.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.88%EV -14.11%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-28 06:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-02-28 05:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.43%1.4%2026-02-28 05:59
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.29%2.1%2026-02-28 05:59