L’École des cotesFrançais
Brisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Brisbane Roar (Local)
Prévision 44.54%2.25cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.917%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.83%44.58%44.53%48.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.052.102.2054.05%48.67%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Wellington Phoenix FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.43%3.52cote équitable
EV +5.18%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.099%
avec la cote maximale 3.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.33%28.35%28.45%30.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.303.7033.33%29.80%30.30%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.04%3.70cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.362%
Kelly -0.499%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%27.06%27.02%27.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.493.503.6530.30%28.69%28.57%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV +5.18%E +1.40%K +1.92%G +0.099% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -14.04%E -7.28%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV +5.18%E +1.40%K +1.92%G +0.099% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -1.32%E -0.362%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -14.04%E -7.28%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV +5.18%E +1.40%K +1.92%G +0.099% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -1.32%E -0.362%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -14.04%E -7.28%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 03:44 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -17.61%E -9.52%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV +0.918%E +0.259%K +0.360%G +0.003% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -17.61%E -9.52%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV +0.918%E +0.259%K +0.360%G +0.003% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -1.64%E -0.474%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.75%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.92%E -0.558%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.06%EV -3.48%E -0.976%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.92%E -0.558%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.06%EV -3.48%E -0.976%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.35%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 03:42 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 03:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.76%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 03:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 03:15 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| GTbets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -8.46%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -2.02%E -0.917%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.45%E -3.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 03:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -12.26%E -6.22%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.82%E -5.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -14.72%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |