La escuela de los momiosBrisbane Roar v Wellington Phoenix FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Brisbane Roar (Local)
Predicción 44.54%2.25momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.917%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.83%44.58%44.53%48.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.052.102.2054.05%48.67%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wellington Phoenix FC (Visitante)
Predicción 28.43%3.52momio equitativo
EV +5.18%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.099%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%28.35%28.45%30.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.303.7033.33%29.80%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.04%3.70momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.362%
Kelly -0.499%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%27.06%27.02%27.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.493.503.6530.30%28.69%28.57%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.28%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV +5.18%E +1.40%K +1.92%G +0.099% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.90%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -14.04%E -7.28%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV +5.18%E +1.40%K +1.92%G +0.099% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -1.32%E -0.362%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -14.04%E -7.28%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV +5.18%E +1.40%K +1.92%G +0.099% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -1.32%E -0.362%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -14.04%E -7.28%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 03:44 |
| Casumo | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -14.49%E -7.55%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV +3.76%E +1.03%K +1.42%G +0.053% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -17.61%E -9.52%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV +0.918%E +0.259%K +0.360%G +0.003% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -17.61%E -9.52%K -20.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV +0.918%E +0.259%K +0.360%G +0.003% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.92%EV -1.64%E -0.474%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.14%EV -3.75%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.92%E -0.558%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.06%EV -3.48%E -0.976%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.94%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -1.92%E -0.558%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.06%EV -3.48%E -0.976%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.35%E -0.984%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 03:42 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.77%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 03:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.19%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.17%EV -6.03%E -2.86%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.42%EV -6.76%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 03:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 03:15 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.61%E -2.34%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| GTbets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -8.46%E -2.63%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -4.02%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -2.02%E -0.917%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.03%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.45%E -3.32%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 03:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.38%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 03:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.79%EV -12.26%E -6.22%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.87%E -3.83%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -11.82%E -5.97%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -14.72%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -9.43%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 03:45 |