Language:English
Brisbane Roar v Sydney FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brisbane Roar (Local)
Prediction 30.06%3.33fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.338%
Kelly -0.485%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.84%30.02%30.08%31.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.073.053.2935.09%32.60%32.79%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sydney FC (Visit)
Prediction 43.50%2.30fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.84%43.52%43.54%44.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.152.172.2451.28%46.46%46.08%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.44%3.78fair odd
EV -0.848%
Edge -0.226%
Kelly -0.308%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.46%26.39%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.65%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brisbane Roar (Local): 30.06%; Sydney FC (Visit): 43.50%; Draw: 26.44%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.848%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -1.11%E -0.338%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.58%EV -5.60%E -2.58%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.64%E -0.441%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.31%E -0.712%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.18%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.96%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.18%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.96%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.02%EV -6.40%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 07:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.30%EV -7.34%E -3.45%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.81%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 06:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 07:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -7.42%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.40%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -5.60%E -2.58%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 06:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.848%E -0.226%K -0.308%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.00%E -6.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.03%E -5.82%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 07:48 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-02 06:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-02 06:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.41%EV -15.17%E -7.78%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-02 08:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -14.34%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -14.34%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-27 10:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.34%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.00%E -6.50%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 09:00 |