La escuela de los momios

Brisbane Roar v Sydney FC

Inicio: 2026-04-02 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Brisbane Roar (Local)

Predicción 30.06%3.33momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.338%
Kelly -0.485%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.84%30.02%30.08%31.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.073.053.2935.09%32.60%32.79%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sydney FC (Visitante)

Predicción 43.50%2.30momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.84%43.52%43.54%44.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.152.172.2451.28%46.46%46.08%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.44%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.848%
Ventaja -0.226%
Kelly -0.308%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.46%26.39%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.65%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -1.11%E -0.338%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.58%EV -5.60%E -2.58%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.01%EV -1.64%E -0.441%K -0.603%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 09:00
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -2.31%E -0.712%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 09:00
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.18%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.96%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 09:00
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 30.18%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.50%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.32%EV -2.96%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-02 09:00
GTbets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.02%EV -6.40%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 07:40
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.30%EV -7.34%E -3.45%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 09:00
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 08:59
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -3.82%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 09:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 08:59
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.81%EV -2.99%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 06:35
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.32%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 09:00
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 07:40
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 06:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 06:34
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 07:40
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 07:40
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Marathon Bet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -7.42%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -6.40%E -1.81%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 09:00
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 09:00
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.94%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 09:00
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -5.60%E -2.58%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 09:00
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 06:35
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 06:34
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 06:34
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 06:34
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 06:34
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 06:34
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 06:34
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.17%E -2.37%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 06:34
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -8.33%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.78%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-02 09:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 09:00
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.30%E -1.95%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 09:00
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.848%E -0.226%K -0.308%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 09:00
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-02 09:00
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 08:59
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 09:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 09:00
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.46%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -9.83%E -3.28%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -13.00%E -6.50%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.03%E -5.82%K -8.59%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-02 09:00
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -2.56%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -6.14%E -1.73%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 07:48
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-02 06:34
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.76%EV -8.65%E -4.12%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-02 06:35
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -11.33%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.41%EV -15.17%E -7.78%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-02 08:59
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -14.34%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -6.47%E -3.01%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.10%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -14.34%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -10.82%E -5.28%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -12.75%E -3.86%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-27 10:05
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -14.34%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.00%E -6.50%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.42%E -3.41%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-02 09:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-02 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-02 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-02 09:00
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-04-02 09:00
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-04-02 09:00
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.39%6.1%2026-04-02 09:00