Language:English
Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brisbane Roar (Local)
Prediction 45.98%2.17fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.52%46.10%45.76%48.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.052.1251.81%49.17%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Perth Glory (Visit)
Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV +5.17%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%25.60%25.92%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.604.1030.77%27.90%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.37%3.52fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.531%
Kelly -0.747%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.39%28.30%28.33%28.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.313.303.4632.79%30.23%30.30%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brisbane Roar (Local): 45.98%; Perth Glory (Visit): 25.65%; Draw: 28.37%. For Perth Glory (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.42%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV +5.17%E +1.26%K +1.67%G +0.086% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -6.66%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.32%E +0.334%K +0.448%G +0.006% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -1.84%E -0.531%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -6.66%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.32%E +0.334%K +0.448%G +0.006% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -1.84%E -0.531%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -1.24%E -0.323%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 06:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.53%E -0.665%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.53%E -0.665%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 06:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -2.53%E -0.665%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.88%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 06:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.43%EV -6.66%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.27%EV -4.32%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.30%EV -5.53%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -8.50%E -4.27%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -4.58%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 06:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 06:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.82%E -2.33%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 06:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 06:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.34%E -5.30%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.63%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -2.12%E -0.615%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 06:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 06:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 06:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.34%E -5.30%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 06:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 06:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 06:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -9.88%E -5.04%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -16.63%E -5.12%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-28 06:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.91%EV -11.26%E -5.83%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.63%E -5.12%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -13.47%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-28 06:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-02-28 06:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74% | 2.3% | 2026-02-28 06:54 |