L’École des cotes

Brisbane Roar v Perth Glory

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 07:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Brisbane Roar (Local)

Prévision 45.98%2.17cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.52%46.10%45.76%48.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.932.032.052.1251.81%49.17%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Perth Glory (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.65%3.90cote équitable
EV +5.17%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.086%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.38%25.60%25.92%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.604.1030.77%27.90%27.78%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.37%3.52cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.531%
Kelly -0.747%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.39%28.30%28.33%28.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.313.303.4632.79%30.23%30.30%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.42%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.38%EV +5.17%E +1.26%K +1.67%G +0.086%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 06:54
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -6.66%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.32%E +0.334%K +0.448%G +0.006%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -1.84%E -0.531%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 06:54
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -6.66%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.32%E +0.334%K +0.448%G +0.006%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.93%EV -1.84%E -0.531%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-28 06:54
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -1.24%E -0.323%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 06:55
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.53%E -0.665%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 06:54
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -2.53%E -0.665%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 06:49
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -2.53%E -0.665%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 06:54
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.88%EV -4.07%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.47%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 06:44
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.43%EV -6.66%E -3.28%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.27%EV -4.32%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.30%EV -5.53%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 06:54
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -8.50%E -4.27%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -4.58%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.81%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 06:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 06:54
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 06:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:54
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.96%E -4.53%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.96%E -1.48%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:54
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 06:54
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 06:54
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 06:54
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.09%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 06:40
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.87%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 06:39
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -4.82%E -2.33%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 06:46
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 06:39
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 06:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 06:54
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 06:54
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 06:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 06:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.21%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 06:54
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.34%E -5.30%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.66%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -10.63%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 06:50
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -2.12%E -0.615%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 06:24
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 06:54
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.74%E -2.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 06:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.44%E -1.64%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.22%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 06:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 06:25
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -11.50%E -3.33%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 06:24
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.36%E -2.10%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 06:29
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:24
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:24
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:24
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:29
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:24
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:25
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -5.28%E -2.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 06:24
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 06:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.34%E -5.30%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.79%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 06:39
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 06:24
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.04%E -4.02%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -15.35%E -4.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.80%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-28 06:25
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -9.88%E -5.04%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -16.63%E -5.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.05%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 06:39
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 44.91%EV -11.26%E -5.83%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -16.63%E -5.12%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -13.47%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-28 06:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-28 06:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-28 06:54
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-02-28 06:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-02-28 06:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-02-28 06:54