Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auckland FC v Melbourne City

2026-10-17 04:00 UTC — A-League

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Auckland FC (Local)

Prediction 37.84%2.64fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.12%38.08%37.79%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.422.432.5646.51%41.25%41.15%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Melbourne City (Visit)

Prediction 33.43%2.99fair odd
EV +0.301%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.150%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.66%33.28%33.51%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.792.803.0039.22%35.84%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -0.973%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.52%28.64%28.70%29.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.213.203.4033.67%31.13%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Auckland FC (Local): 37.84%; Melbourne City (Visit): 33.43%; Draw: 28.73%. For Melbourne City (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.301%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +0.301%E +0.100%K +0.150%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.33%E -0.687%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 07:33
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.92%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV -1.37%E -0.465%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-12 13:15
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.04%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.04%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 18:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.04%E -1.05%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -4.05%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 18:49
GTbets🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.62%EV -7.67%E -3.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.83%EV -4.05%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -4.05%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -10.32%E -4.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.32%EV -4.05%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 08:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.53%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.15%EV -6.07%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.53%EV -3.88%E -1.53%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.38%E -1.53%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.15%EV -6.07%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.33%E -0.687%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-13 07:24
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.71%E -1.65%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-04 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.21%EV -3.13%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -5.38%E -1.90%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.13%EV -6.07%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 23:35
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.12%EV -4.26%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-12 23:35
BetUS🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.12%EV -4.26%E -1.68%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-12 23:44
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-11 21:59
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-30 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-12 22:19
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-12 07:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-13 08:19
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 12:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 13:14
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 13:19
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 13:19
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -8.05%E -3.31%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 13:29
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 08:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 04:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.14%EV -7.67%E -3.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.03%EV -4.63%E -1.40%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 07:49
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.40%E -2.16%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 23:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-12 04:05
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 14:04
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 13:59
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 07:54
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-12 07:49
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.18%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.06%E -2.93%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.73%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-12 13:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.73%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-12 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.07%EV -11.83%E -5.08%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -9.73%E -3.60%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-12 13:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -13.07%E -5.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-12 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.40%EV -12.21%E -5.26%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.38%EV -13.07%E -5.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.22%EV -14.69%E -4.94%K -7.45%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-13 01:26
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.68%EV -18.64%E -8.67%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.81%EV -13.07%E -5.03%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.22%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-13 04:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.99%EV -12.97%E -5.64%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -14.74%E -5.78%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-12 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.54%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.60%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%4.1%2026-10-12 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%4.1%2026-10-13 09:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%4.1%2026-10-13 09:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%4.1%2026-10-13 09:50
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%5.1%2026-10-13 10:14