Sign in with Sole Account
Language:English
Auckland FC v Melbourne City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Auckland FC (Local)
Prediction 39.32%2.54fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.15%39.33%39.29%40.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.372.402.5046.51%42.16%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Melbourne City (Visit)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV -0.600%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.26%32.01%32.25%33.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.882.903.1037.45%34.72%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.62%3.49fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.65%28.46%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.17%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auckland FC (Local): 39.32%; Melbourne City (Visit): 32.06%; Draw: 28.62%. For Melbourne City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -0.600%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.55%EV -1.70%E -0.680%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.67%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.31%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.39%EV -1.24%E -0.403%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 03:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.31%EV -3.27%E -1.33%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.39%EV -1.24%E -0.403%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-17 03:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.55%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.36%EV -0.921%E -0.298%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.10%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-17 03:45 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.62%EV -4.06%E -1.66%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.83%EV -7.97%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.45%E -1.83%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 03:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -2.71%E -0.796%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-16 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 03:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-17 03:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -7.65%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 03:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-17 03:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.14%EV -6.81%E -2.87%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.32%EV -7.97%E -2.78%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-17 02:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.39%EV -7.20%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -5.00%E -1.51%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -0.600%E -0.194%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 03:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-17 03:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -8.78%E -3.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -8.78%E -3.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 01:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -8.78%E -3.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.72%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 03:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-17 03:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.57%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.01%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-17 03:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.56%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-17 03:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.57%EV -11.53%E -5.12%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.50%EV -14.39%E -5.39%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.93%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-17 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -15.46%E -7.19%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -11.82%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-17 03:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.35% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.15% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.4% | 2026-10-17 03:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.15% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.29% | 1.9% | 2026-10-17 03:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 03:45 |