Language:English
Auckland FC v Melbourne City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Auckland FC (Local)
Prediction 40.56%2.47fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.14%40.55%40.47%42.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.262.4047.62%43.95%44.15%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Melbourne City (Visit)
Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd
EV -0.123%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.057%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.66%31.45%31.68%32.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.953.1737.04%33.78%33.90%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.970%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.06%28.00%27.85%29.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.353.4634.72%30.17%29.85%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auckland FC (Local): 40.56%; Melbourne City (Visit): 31.51%; Draw: 27.93%. For Melbourne City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.174. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.170, with an expected value of -0.123%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -3.46%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.84%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -7.69%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -7.05%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 04:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -7.69%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -8.38%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 04:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.52%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -0.123%E -0.039%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -3.36%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-02 04:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.44%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -0.754%E -0.239%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -3.36%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 03:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.44%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -0.754%E -0.239%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -3.36%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 03:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.41%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.63%EV -0.754%E -0.239%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 04:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.00%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.00%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.56%EV -6.30%E -2.73%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.22%EV -7.27%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.33%E -0.751%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.21%E -3.58%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 04:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 04:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.90%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.90%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.33%E -0.751%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 04:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.90%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 04:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.89%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.05%EV -9.58%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 04:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.21%E -3.58%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.33%E -0.751%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 04:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -11.58%E -5.31%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -7.05%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -11.58%E -5.31%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -7.05%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.94%EV -11.98%E -5.52%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.10%EV -14.93%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -12.79%E -5.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 04:31 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.79%E -5.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.36%E -4.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.38%EV -14.01%E -6.61%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -10.21%E -3.58%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.02%E -3.81%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -14.82%E -7.06%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.56%E -6.79%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-02 04:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.49% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17% | 2.9% | 2026-05-02 04:50 |