L’École des cotes

Auckland FC v Melbourne City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 05:00 UTC

Score final : Auckland FC 1–1 Melbourne City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Auckland FC (Local)

Prévision 40.56%2.47cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.14%40.55%40.47%42.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.262.4047.62%43.95%44.15%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Melbourne City (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.51%3.17cote équitable
EV -0.123%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.057%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.66%31.45%31.68%32.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.962.953.1737.04%33.78%33.90%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.93%3.58cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -0.970%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.06%28.00%27.85%29.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.313.353.4634.72%30.17%29.85%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 04:55
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 04:55
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -3.46%E -1.46%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 04:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 04:55
BetUS2.36I 42.37%NM 39.84%EV -4.27%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -7.69%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 04:55
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -7.05%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 04:54
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 04:50
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.71%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -7.69%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -8.38%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:54
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 04:55
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.52%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.52%EV -0.123%E -0.039%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -3.36%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 04:45
LowVig.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.44%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -0.754%E -0.239%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -3.36%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 03:15
BetOnline.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.44%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.65%EV -0.754%E -0.239%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.91%EV -3.36%E -0.970%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 03:15
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.41%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.63%EV -0.754%E -0.239%K -0.350%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.96%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-02 04:55
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 40.45%EV -5.49%E -2.36%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 04:48
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.00%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.00%E -2.74%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 04:50
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 40.56%EV -6.30%E -2.73%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.22%EV -7.27%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 14:45
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.52%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.33%E -0.751%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -3.64%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-01 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 14:44
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.21%E -3.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 04:35
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.90%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 04:55
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.90%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 04:55
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.33%E -0.751%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 04:01
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.90%E -1.28%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 04:05
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 04:50
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 04:50
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 04:50
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 04:55
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 04:55
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 04:50
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.48%E -1.83%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 04:50
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.89%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.05%EV -9.58%E -3.34%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 04:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 04:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 04:50
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 04:50
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 04:50
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.21%E -3.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 14:44
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -10.76%E -4.89%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.33%E -0.751%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 04:00
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -11.58%E -5.31%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -7.05%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 04:55
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.32%EV -11.58%E -5.31%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -7.05%E -2.39%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 04:55
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.94%EV -11.98%E -5.52%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.10%EV -14.93%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.96%EV -13.41%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 04:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -12.79%E -5.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.63%E -2.98%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 04:31
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -12.79%E -5.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.36%E -4.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-01 14:44
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.38%EV -14.01%E -6.61%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -10.21%E -3.58%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -12.02%E -3.81%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-02 04:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -14.82%E -7.06%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -9.26%E -3.22%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -19.56%E -6.79%K -10.40%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-02 04:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%0.9%2026-05-02 04:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-02 04:55
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-05-02 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-05-02 04:50
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.16%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-02 04:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.49%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%2.9%2026-05-02 04:50