L’École des cotes

Auckland FC v Melbourne City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 04:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Auckland FC (Local)

Prévision 42.89%2.33cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.12%43.02%42.82%47.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.892.112.152.2852.91%47.45%46.51%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Melbourne City (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.76%3.48cote équitable
EV +9.30%
Avantage +2.45%
Kelly +3.32%
Croissance +0.309%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%28.69%28.67%29.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.383.303.8033.90%29.56%30.30%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.35%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.781%
Avantage -0.223%
Kelly -0.312%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.07%28.28%28.51%29.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.303.303.5032.79%30.27%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -14.22%E -7.11%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV +9.30%E +2.45%K +3.32%G +0.309%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -0.781%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -15.94%E -8.13%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +7.86%E +2.10%K +2.86%G +0.225%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 04:00
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -15.94%E -8.13%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +7.86%E +2.10%K +2.86%G +0.225%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 03:59
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -15.94%E -8.13%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV +7.86%E +2.10%K +2.86%G +0.225%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 04:00
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:00
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:00
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:00
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 03:59
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -18.94%E -10.02%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV +3.55%E +0.985%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -18.94%E -10.02%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV +3.55%E +0.985%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 04:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -0.767%E -0.222%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -0.781%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 03:58
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -2.21%E -0.971%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -3.07%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -4.75%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 03:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.21%E -0.971%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -3.36%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.75%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 03:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.21%E -0.971%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -3.36%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.75%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 03:59
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.45%EV -6.93%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.40%EV -4.51%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 03:59
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -8.15%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 03:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 03:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 04:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 04:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 03:59
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 42.78%EV -6.07%E -2.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 03:55
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 03:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 03:59
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 03:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 03:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 03:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 03:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 03:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 03:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 03:59
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.93%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 04:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 03:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 03:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 03:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 03:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 03:59
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 04:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 04:00
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 03:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.08%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 03:58
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -14.65%E -7.36%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-28 03:58
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 04:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.08%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -15.15%E -5.14%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 04:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%0.6%2026-02-28 04:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-02-28 03:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-02-28 04:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-02-28 03:59
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%2.7%2026-02-28 04:00