La escuela de los momios

Auckland FC v Melbourne City

Inicio: 2026-02-28 04:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Auckland FC (Local)

Predicción 42.89%2.33momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -0.971%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.12%43.02%42.82%47.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.892.112.152.2852.91%47.45%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Melbourne City (Visitante)

Predicción 28.76%3.48momio equitativo
EV +9.30%
Ventaja +2.45%
Kelly +3.32%
Crecimiento +0.309%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%28.69%28.67%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.383.303.8033.90%29.56%30.30%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.781%
Ventaja -0.223%
Kelly -0.312%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.07%28.28%28.51%29.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.303.303.5032.79%30.27%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -14.22%E -7.11%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV +9.30%E +2.45%K +3.32%G +0.309%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -0.781%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -15.94%E -8.13%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +7.86%E +2.10%K +2.86%G +0.225%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 04:00
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -15.94%E -8.13%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +7.86%E +2.10%K +2.86%G +0.225%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -2.20%E -0.637%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 03:59
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.64%EV -15.94%E -8.13%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV +7.86%E +2.10%K +2.86%G +0.225%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 04:00
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:00
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:00
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:00
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 04:00
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -16.80%E -8.66%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV +6.42%E +1.74%K +2.38%G +0.153%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 03:59
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -18.94%E -10.02%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV +3.55%E +0.985%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -18.94%E -10.02%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV +3.55%E +0.985%K +1.36%G +0.048%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 04:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -0.767%E -0.222%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -0.781%E -0.223%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 03:58
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.46%EV -2.21%E -0.971%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.73%EV -3.07%E -0.910%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -4.75%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 03:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.21%E -0.971%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -3.36%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.75%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 03:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.21%E -0.971%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -3.36%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.79%EV -4.75%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 03:59
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.45%EV -6.93%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.40%EV -4.51%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 03:59
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -7.36%E -3.41%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -4.51%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -8.15%E -2.52%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 03:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 03:59
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 04:00
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 04:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 03:59
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 42.78%EV -6.07%E -2.77%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 03:55
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 03:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 03:59
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 03:59
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 03:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 03:59
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 03:59
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 03:59
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 03:59
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 03:59
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.37%EV -6.93%E -3.19%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 04:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 03:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 03:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 03:59
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 03:59
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.79%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 03:59
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 03:59
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 04:00
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.65%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 04:00
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 03:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.08%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 03:58
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.58%EV -14.65%E -7.36%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.98%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-28 03:58
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 04:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -12.08%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -15.15%E -5.14%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-28 04:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%0.6%2026-02-28 04:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.20%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%0.6%2026-02-28 03:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-02-28 04:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.4%2026-02-28 03:59
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%2.7%2026-02-28 04:00