A Escola das Odds

Velez Sarsfield BA v Union Santa Fe

Início: 2026-04-27 21:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

35 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)

Previsão 43.20%2.31odd justa
EV -4.53%
Vantagem -2.05%
Kelly -3.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.20%43.24%43.22%45.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.962.122.152.2151.02%47.17%46.51%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union Santa Fe (Visitante)

Previsão 26.17%3.82odd justa
EV +2.08%
Vantagem +0.533%
Kelly +0.716%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.26%26.16%26.13%27.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.523.503.9032.26%28.37%28.57%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.63%3.27odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.53%30.60%30.64%31.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.023.003.1535.71%33.17%33.33%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (35 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -10.58%E -5.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +2.08%E +0.533%K +0.716%G +0.015%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -10.58%E -5.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +2.08%E +0.533%K +0.716%G +0.015%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 12:20
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.68%EV -11.01%E -5.34%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV +0.769%E +0.200%K +0.270%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -3.53%E -1.12%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:19
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -13.60%E -6.80%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -1.85%E -0.493%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 12:19
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -13.60%E -6.80%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -1.85%E -0.493%K -0.672%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 12:19
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.31%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -5.67%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 20:04
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.31%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -5.67%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -15.33%E -7.82%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -3.16%E -0.853%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 12:20
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.13%EV -4.53%E -2.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.83%EV -3.42%E -0.927%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -5.98%E -1.95%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 07:20
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:59
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -4.47%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 11:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 06:25
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.15%EV -6.26%E -2.88%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.15%EV -6.30%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:15
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -6.30%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 19:14
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -7.08%E -2.00%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 11:25
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 11:19
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 19:01
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 11:19
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:59
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 12:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 06:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 18:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.96%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 18:03
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 23:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 14:40
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.60%E -6.80%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -12.32%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -12.72%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-23 19:04
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.26%EV -12.30%E -6.06%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.45%EV -13.10%E -3.95%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 08:00
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.12%E -3.31%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 21:58
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.63%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -11.18%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-21 21:45
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.44%E -5.58%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.94%E -4.60%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 07:20
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -9.28%E -4.42%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -18.86%E -6.08%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.25%E -5.09%K -7.91%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-21 18:05
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 42.86%EV -14.46%E -7.30%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -18.86%E -6.08%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.77%EV -12.72%E -4.46%K -6.87%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-22 07:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.91%5.9%2026-04-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.91%5.9%2026-04-23 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.91%5.9%2026-04-23 21:50
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 42.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.58%7.7%2026-04-23 22:15
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 41.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.78%10.0%2026-04-24 03:40