Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Velez Sarsfield BA v Defensa y Justicia

Inizio: 2026-08-17 22:15 UTC

Finale: Velez Sarsfield BA 1–1 Defensa y Justicia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Velez Sarsfield BA (Casa)

Previsione 47.00%2.13quota equa
EV -3.18%
Vantaggio -1.54%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.93%47.04%46.97%48.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.961.982.0654.05%50.90%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Defensa y Justicia (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.98%4.17quota equa
EV +2.89%
Vantaggio +0.674%
Kelly +0.879%
Crescita +0.025%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.36%24.00%23.95%25.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.853.804.2927.78%26.01%26.32%23.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.01%3.45quota equa
EV -3.67%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.35%28.96%29.07%29.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.193.203.3233.33%31.33%31.25%30.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Velez Sarsfield BA (Casa): 47.00%; Defensa y Justicia (Trasferta): 23.98%; Pareggio: 29.01%. Per Defensa y Justicia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.17. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.29, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.89%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.95%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.36%EV +2.89%E +0.674%K +0.879%G +0.025%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -6.28%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.36%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -1.19%E -0.288%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.36%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -1.19%E -0.288%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:04
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.36%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -1.19%E -0.288%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.35%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.11%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 22:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:09
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -12.11%E -6.47%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 21:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.01%EV -5.53%E -2.75%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:04
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 22:09
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 22:04
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -7.88%E -4.02%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.94%E -3.50%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 22:07
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:09
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:09
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 22:05
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 22:04
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 22:04
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -9.29%E -4.81%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 22:02
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 22:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 22:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -12.58%E -6.76%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-17 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 22:05
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 22:04
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 22:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.99%EV -10.70%E -5.63%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -10.54%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.08%EV -10.93%E -3.56%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 22:04
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.94%E -3.50%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-17 22:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -8.82%E -4.54%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-17 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.11%E -6.47%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.11%E -6.47%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 22:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.98%EV -12.11%E -6.47%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-17 22:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -13.05%E -7.05%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -12.46%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-17 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 22:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.76%E -5.08%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-17 22:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.23%E -5.35%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-17 22:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-17 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-08-17 22:10
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-08-17 22:10
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-08-17 22:05