Langue:Français
Velez Sarsfield BA v Defensa y Justicia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Velez Sarsfield BA (Local)
Prévision 47.00%2.13cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.06
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.93%47.04%46.97%48.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.961.982.0654.05%50.90%50.51%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.98%4.17cote équitable
EV +2.89%
Avantage +0.674%
Kelly +0.879%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 4.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.36%24.00%23.95%25.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.853.804.2927.78%26.01%26.32%23.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.01%3.45cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.35%28.96%29.07%29.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.203.3233.33%31.33%31.25%30.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Velez Sarsfield BA (Local) : 47.00% ; Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur) : 23.98% ; Match nul : 29.01%. Pour Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.17. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.29, soit une espérance positive de +2.89%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.95%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.36%EV +2.89%E +0.674%K +0.879%G +0.025% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -6.28%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.36%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -1.19%E -0.288%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.36%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -1.19%E -0.288%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.36%EV -4.12%E -2.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.45%EV -1.19%E -0.288%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.19%EV -3.96%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.18%E -1.54%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.35%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.11%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -12.11%E -6.47%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -4.06%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 21:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.01%EV -5.53%E -2.75%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.67%EV -5.06%E -2.50%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.84%EV -7.88%E -4.02%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.97%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.94%E -3.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.78%EV -5.98%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-17 22:07 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.46%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -9.29%E -4.81%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-17 22:02 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -12.58%E -6.76%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -8.86%E -2.33%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -3.65%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.70%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.99%EV -10.70%E -5.63%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -10.54%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.08%EV -10.93%E -3.56%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -6.00%E -3.00%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -6.94%E -3.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -8.82%E -4.54%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.11%E -6.47%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -12.11%E -6.47%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -10.06%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.98%EV -12.11%E -6.47%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -11.26%E -3.04%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -13.05%E -7.05%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -12.46%E -3.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.51%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -8.35%E -4.28%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-17 22:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -9.76%E -5.08%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -8.61%E -2.73%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.23%E -5.35%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -13.66%E -3.79%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34% | 1.7% | 2026-08-17 22:05 |