Idioma:Español
Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento de Junin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Predicción 48.48%2.06momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -4.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.51%48.57%48.57%51.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.891.911.9857.80%52.79%52.36%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sarmiento de Junin (Visitante)
Predicción 21.93%4.56momio equitativo
EV +5.46%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.97%21.95%21.83%23.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.214.204.8126.32%23.74%23.81%20.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.59%3.38momio equitativo
EV -0.867%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.369%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.47%29.47%29.60%30.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.923.163.153.3534.25%31.69%31.75%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Union Santa Fe (Local): 48.48%; Sarmiento de Junin (Visitante): 21.93%; Empate: 29.59%. Para Sarmiento de Junin (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.56. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.81, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.52%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.97%EV +5.46%E +1.14%K +1.43%G +0.078% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.50%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.80%EV -4.00%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.10%EV +0.419%E +0.092%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.10%EV -5.01%E -1.56%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.40%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -1.33%E -0.297%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.07%EV -10.79%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -1.33%E -0.297%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -0.867%E -0.259%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.33%E -0.297%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -0.867%E -0.259%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.61%EV -3.31%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 17:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.61%EV -3.31%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.62%EV -4.97%E -2.54%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.61%EV -3.31%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-28 16:57 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -7.40%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.53%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.40%E -3.87%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -5.06%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -5.94%E -3.06%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.64%EV -6.91%E -3.60%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -12.73%E -7.07%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -5.72%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -0.867%E -0.259%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.75%EV -4.00%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.82%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.75%EV -4.00%E -2.02%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -6.82%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.35%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -6.82%E -1.60%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -9.34%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.34%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.34%E -4.99%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-28 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -7.91%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -12.25%E -6.77%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -13.59%E -4.65%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-28 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.50%EV -16.13%E -9.32%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.31%EV -10.10%E -2.46%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -12.30%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -12.30%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -12.30%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.24%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.30%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.45%EV -10.34%E -3.41%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.30%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 21:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.22%E -7.38%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.89%EV -12.30%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.24%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -13.39%E -3.39%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -6.79%E -2.15%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -7.88%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -14.49%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.15%EV -9.82%E -5.28%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -14.49%E -3.72%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.27%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -8.85%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -16.68%E -4.39%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.31%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-28 20:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 21:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 21:46 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.00% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 21:46 |