Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.14
assuming max odds 2.73
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talleres (Local): 31.70%; Rosario Central (Visit): 36.27%; Draw: 32.04%. For Talleres (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.14, with an expected value of -0.468%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.58%EV -0.468%E -0.149%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.77%EV -6.13%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.57%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.64%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.57%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.64%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 00:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.57%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.64%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-25 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.45%EV -0.994%E -0.364%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.81%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -9.02%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.90%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.90%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-24 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.90%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-24 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 00:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -9.03%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.62%EV -9.03%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.08%EV -14.05%E -5.93%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.31%EV -12.86%E -4.73%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -16.59%E -7.21%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-25 00:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.66%EV -10.61%E -3.76%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.45%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-24 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-24 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.96%E -5.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -12.83%E -4.67%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -3.90%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-24 23:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.83%E -4.67%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-24 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -16.63%E -6.32%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -16.63%E -6.32%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -17.59%E -6.76%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12% | 2.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02% | 3.1% | 2026-08-25 00:09 |