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Talleres v Rosario Central

2026-08-25 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Talleres (Local)

Prediction 33.78%2.96fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.30%33.78%33.78%34.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.8238.46%36.79%36.36%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosario Central (Visit)

Prediction 34.34%2.91fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.06%34.34%34.34%34.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.702.7840.00%37.43%37.04%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.88%3.14fair odd
EV -5.96%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.59%31.88%31.88%32.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.922.9537.04%34.78%34.19%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Talleres (Local): 33.78%; Rosario Central (Visit): 34.34%; Draw: 31.88%. For Rosario Central (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.78, with an expected value of -4.53%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.67%EV -4.74%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.15%EV -4.53%E -1.63%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -6.43%E -2.32%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.25%E -2.29%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.56%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 00:55
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.28%E -2.70%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 21:04
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.10%E -2.58%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.28%E -2.70%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.96%E -2.02%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 21:09
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.49%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.03%E -3.83%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.74%E -3.84%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 21:05
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.17%E -4.68%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -14.15%E -5.66%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.93%E -5.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-09 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.