默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Talleres v Rosario Central

开赛时间: 2026-08-25 00:15 UTC

最终结果: Talleres 2–2 Rosario Central

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Talleres (主队)

预测 31.70%3.15公平赔率
EV -0.468%
优势 -0.149%
Kelly -0.219%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.14

博彩公司预测分布
30.58%31.78%31.68%33.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.892.893.1438.46%34.65%34.60%31.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rosario Central (客队)

预测 36.27%2.76公平赔率
EV -0.994%
优势 -0.364%
Kelly -0.575%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.73

博彩公司预测分布
34.68%36.20%36.39%38.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.572.582.7343.48%38.94%38.83%36.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 32.04%3.12公平赔率
EV -3.89%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -1.95%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
30.83%32.02%31.93%32.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.722.902.903.0036.76%34.54%34.48%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Talleres (主队):31.70%;Rosario Central (客队):36.27%;平局:32.04%。 对于“Talleres (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.15。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.14,期望值为-0.468%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.58%EV -0.468%E -0.149%K -0.219%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.65%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.77%EV -6.13%E -2.09%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.57%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.64%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-25 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.57%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.64%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-25 00:04
BetAnything🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.57%EV -3.00%E -0.982%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.78%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.64%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-25 00:04
Pinnacle🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.45%EV -0.994%E -0.364%K -0.575%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.81%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-25 00:00
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.18%EV -3.32%E -1.09%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.58%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 00:09
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -4.91%E -1.64%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -5.54%E -1.86%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -9.02%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 00:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.90%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 00:00
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 00:09
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-25 00:09
theScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -6.49%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 00:09
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -3.90%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 23:59
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 23:29
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.90%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 23:29
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 00:08
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 00:09
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.08%E -2.78%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 00:09
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 00:09
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.71%E -3.02%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-25 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -9.03%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 23:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.62%EV -9.03%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.08%EV -14.05%E -5.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.31%EV -12.86%E -4.73%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-25 00:09
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-24 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 00:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.70%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-25 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -9.66%E -3.39%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -16.59%E -7.21%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-25 00:08
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.66%EV -10.61%E -3.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.45%EV -11.15%E -4.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-24 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 00:09
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -2.08%E -0.771%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 00:09
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.71%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -11.25%E -4.02%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -12.96%E -5.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-25 00:09
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -12.83%E -4.67%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -3.90%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.91%EV -7.74%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 23:54
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.83%E -4.67%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -16.63%E -6.32%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 00:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -16.63%E -6.32%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.30%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-25 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -17.59%E -6.76%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -9.34%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-25 00:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-08-25 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-25 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-25 00:09
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.12%2.1%2026-08-25 00:09
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.02%3.1%2026-08-25 00:09