A Escola das Odds

Talleres v Boca Juniors

Início: 2026-04-02 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Talleres (Local)

Previsão 38.11%2.62odd justa
EV +0.233%
Vantagem +0.088%
Kelly +0.143%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.73%37.92%38.13%39.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.452.452.6343.48%40.82%40.82%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boca Juniors (Visitante)

Previsão 28.66%3.49odd justa
EV -0.552%
Vantagem -0.159%
Kelly -0.223%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.89%28.91%28.61%31.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.163.233.4735.09%31.62%30.96%28.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.23%3.01odd justa
EV +3.01%
Vantagem +0.971%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.043%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.00%33.17%33.26%34.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.802.803.1038.46%35.75%35.71%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.06%EV -6.25%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.94%EV -8.00%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV +3.01%E +0.971%K +1.43%G +0.043%4.1%2026-04-02 23:15
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV +0.233%E +0.088%K +0.143%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -14.02%E -4.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV +0.233%E +0.088%K +0.143%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -14.02%E -4.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 23:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.73%EV +0.233%E +0.088%K +0.143%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -15.45%E -5.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 23:04
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -3.96%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -0.552%E -0.159%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-02 23:15
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -3.96%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -3.96%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 22:55
BetAnything2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -3.96%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 22:50
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 23:20
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 23:04
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 23:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.44%E -4.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-02 23:04
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.29%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 23:25
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.29%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 23:25
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.72%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 22:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 22:49
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 23:14
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 22:49
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 23:04
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 22:49
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -2.82%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -16.89%E -5.82%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-02 23:25
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -2.82%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -16.89%E -5.82%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-02 23:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -12.59%E -4.13%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -4.72%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -18.32%E -6.43%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 23:24
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.99%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 22:55
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.95%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 23:25
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 23:15
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 23:25
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-02 22:49
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.34%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-02 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.34%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -15.45%E -5.24%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-02 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -14.59%E -4.90%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 23:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -12.61%E -4.79%K -7.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-02 23:00
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -12.94%E -4.94%K -7.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-02 23:14
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.40%EV -11.58%E -4.99%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.22%EV -14.88%E -5.01%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.38%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-02 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -12.34%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -17.46%E -6.06%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-02 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%0.6%2026-04-02 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-02 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-02 23:25
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%0.9%2026-04-02 23:25
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.99%1.7%2026-04-02 23:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.1%2026-04-02 23:05