L’École des cotesFrançais
Talleres v Boca Juniors
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Talleres (Local)
Prévision 38.11%2.62cote équitable
EV +0.233%
Avantage +0.088%
Kelly +0.143%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.73%37.92%38.13%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.452.6343.48%40.82%40.82%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Boca Juniors (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.66%3.49cote équitable
EV -0.552%
Avantage -0.159%
Kelly -0.223%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.89%28.91%28.61%31.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.163.233.4735.09%31.62%30.96%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.23%3.01cote équitable
EV +3.01%
Avantage +0.971%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.043%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.00%33.17%33.26%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.1038.46%35.75%35.71%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.06%EV -6.25%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.94%EV -8.00%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV +3.01%E +0.971%K +1.43%G +0.043% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:15 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV +0.233%E +0.088%K +0.143%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -14.02%E -4.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.93%EV +0.233%E +0.088%K +0.143%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.49%EV -14.02%E -4.67%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.58%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.73%EV +0.233%E +0.088%K +0.143%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -15.45%E -5.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -3.64%E -1.25%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -3.96%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.89%EV -0.552%E -0.159%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.72%EV -4.63%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-02 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -3.96%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -3.96%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.81%EV -3.96%E -1.57%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.32%EV -4.96%E -1.74%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 22:50 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 23:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.44%E -4.44%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -5.30%E -1.86%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.29%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.29%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.72%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 23:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 22:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -2.82%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -16.89%E -5.82%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -2.82%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -16.89%E -5.82%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -12.59%E -4.13%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -4.72%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -18.32%E -6.43%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.96%E -2.48%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 23:24 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -3.99%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.95%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.42%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.86%E -2.11%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.34%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -12.34%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -15.45%E -5.24%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -8.62%E -3.13%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.12%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.89%EV -14.59%E -4.90%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.28%E -3.81%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -11.16%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -12.61%E -4.79%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -8.29%E -2.59%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -12.94%E -4.94%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-02 23:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.40%EV -11.58%E -4.99%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.22%EV -14.88%E -5.01%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.38%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-02 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -12.34%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -17.46%E -6.06%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -13.60%E -5.23%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-02 23:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15% | 0.6% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.99% | 1.7% | 2026-04-02 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |