A Escola das Odds

Sarmiento de Junin v Union Santa Fe

Início: 2026-02-26 20:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Previsão 28.27%3.54odd justa
EV +0.658%
Vantagem +0.185%
Kelly +0.257%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.59%28.20%28.33%29.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.293.303.5633.33%30.37%30.30%28.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Union Santa Fe (Visitante)

Previsão 38.77%2.58odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.78%38.95%38.68%41.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.362.402.5046.51%42.38%41.67%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.96%3.03odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -0.939%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.86%32.84%32.99%33.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.822.852.9539.22%35.41%35.09%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV +0.658%E +0.185%K +0.257%G +0.002%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -9.29%E -3.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 05:05
LowVig.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV +0.658%E +0.185%K +0.257%G +0.002%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -9.29%E -3.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-23 05:05
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +0.375%E +0.106%K +0.147%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -11.61%E -5.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.77%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:49
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +0.375%E +0.106%K +0.147%G +0.001%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -11.61%E -5.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.77%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:50
BetRivers3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.04%E -0.297%K -0.416%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -11.61%E -5.09%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.77%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:50
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.77%EV -1.32%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.92%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.31%EV -4.09%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-26 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -2.45%E -0.711%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -12.78%E -5.68%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -4.42%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 19:50
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 18:10
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:00
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -14.71%E -6.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 19:49
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -14.71%E -6.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-26 19:50
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 20:05
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -6.57%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 20:09
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -2.77%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 20:04
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -7.05%E -2.50%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 20:04
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -7.05%E -2.50%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 20:05
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 19:25
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-26 20:10
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 14:00
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.42%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 19:20
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:39
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 19:35
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 20:05
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-26 20:04
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.74%E -3.25%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 18:50
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:10
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.52%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -5.08%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -9.52%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -14.71%E -6.69%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.31%E -5.50%K -8.94%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-26 18:10
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 19:25
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.58%EV -11.78%E -3.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.66%EV -10.02%E -3.67%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 19:48
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.90%E -3.79%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 19:25
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-26 19:49
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-26 14:00
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -15.18%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.78%E -5.68%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-26 19:35
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -15.18%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.07%EV -16.65%E -7.75%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.94%EV -15.95%E -6.26%K -10.29%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-26 19:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%0.9%2026-02-26 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%1.2%2026-02-26 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%1.2%2026-02-26 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%1.2%2026-02-26 20:09
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.57%2.0%2026-02-26 20:09