La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sarmiento de Junin v Union Santa Fe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sarmiento de Junin (Local)
Predicción 28.27%3.54momio equitativo
EV +0.658%
Ventaja +0.185%
Kelly +0.257%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%28.20%28.33%29.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.5633.33%30.37%30.30%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union Santa Fe (Visitante)
Predicción 38.77%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.78%38.95%38.68%41.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.362.402.5046.51%42.38%41.67%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.96%3.03momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.939%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.86%32.84%32.99%33.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.822.852.9539.22%35.41%35.09%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV +0.658%E +0.185%K +0.257%G +0.002% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -9.29%E -3.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-23 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.73%EV +0.658%E +0.185%K +0.257%G +0.002% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.67%EV -9.29%E -3.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -3.76%E -1.29%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-23 05:05 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +0.375%E +0.106%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -11.61%E -5.09%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.77%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV +0.375%E +0.106%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -11.61%E -5.09%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -2.77%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -1.04%E -0.297%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.25%EV -11.61%E -5.09%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -2.77%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.77%EV -1.32%E -0.379%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.92%EV -3.47%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.31%EV -4.09%E -1.40%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-26 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -2.45%E -0.711%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -12.78%E -5.68%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -4.42%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -14.71%E -6.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -3.87%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -14.71%E -6.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-26 19:50 |
| Everygame | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.28%E -1.58%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.73%EV -6.57%E -2.73%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 20:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -6.41%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.56%EV -2.77%E -0.939%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 20:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -7.05%E -2.50%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 20:04 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -7.05%E -2.50%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 20:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| BetAnything | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-26 20:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.69%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -3.08%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.42%E -1.52%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.02%E -2.05%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 20:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 20:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.74%E -3.25%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.52%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -5.08%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -9.52%E -2.98%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -14.71%E -6.69%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -14.31%E -5.50%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.93%E -3.47%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.71%E -2.75%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.58%EV -11.78%E -3.78%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.66%EV -10.02%E -3.67%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-26 19:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.90%E -3.79%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -6.07%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.96%E -2.90%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-26 19:49 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.35%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.84%E -4.71%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -11.01%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-26 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -15.18%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.78%E -5.68%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -9.36%E -3.40%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-26 19:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -15.18%E -5.06%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.07%EV -16.65%E -7.75%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.94%EV -15.95%E -6.26%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-02-26 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 20:09 |
| Smarkets | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.57% | 2.0% | 2026-02-26 20:09 |