A Escola das Odds

Sarmiento de Junin v CA Tigre BA

Início: 2026-04-25 22:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

36 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Previsão 28.66%3.49odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -0.492%
Kelly -0.694%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.77%28.78%28.60%29.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.193.203.4335.09%31.31%31.25%29.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

CA Tigre BA (Visitante)

Previsão 37.53%2.66odd justa
EV -4.29%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.48%37.53%37.55%38.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.452.482.5543.48%40.83%40.32%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.81%2.96odd justa
EV -0.273%
Vantagem -0.093%
Kelly -0.140%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.93%33.69%33.85%34.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.772.792.9540.00%36.10%35.84%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (36 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -1.69%E -0.492%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -5.68%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -1.69%E -0.492%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -5.68%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:24
Pinnacle3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.67%EV -5.05%E -1.99%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 02:54
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:49
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:49
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:14
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 28.47%EV -5.70%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.06%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:04
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -5.99%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:00
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 22:15
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:19
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:20
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:00
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.92%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 16:29
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 02:43
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.23%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -0.273%E -0.093%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 16:24
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.23%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -0.273%E -0.093%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:14
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 08:19
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:15
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 01:15
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 12:49
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.92%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:28
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -0.273%E -0.093%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:24
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -10.57%E -3.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.68%EV -11.05%E -4.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:18
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:49
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:29
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.92%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:29
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.67%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 22:15
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.80%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-22 16:29
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -10.67%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 16:24
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -10.67%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -11.80%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 16:24
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -9.92%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 02:35
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 29.79%EV -18.31%E -6.43%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.91%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.30%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-21 02:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.70%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.11%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.19%2.5%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%5.2%2026-04-23 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%5.2%2026-04-23 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%5.2%2026-04-23 23:34
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%6.3%2026-04-24 03:45