La escuela de los momios

Sarmiento de Junin v CA Tigre BA

Inicio: 2026-04-25 22:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sarmiento de Junin (Local)

Predicción 28.66%3.49momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.492%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.77%28.78%28.60%29.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.193.203.4335.09%31.31%31.25%29.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CA Tigre BA (Visitante)

Predicción 37.53%2.66momio equitativo
EV -4.29%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.48%37.53%37.55%38.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.482.5543.48%40.83%40.32%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 33.81%2.96momio equitativo
EV -0.273%
Ventaja -0.093%
Kelly -0.140%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.93%33.69%33.85%34.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.792.9540.00%36.10%35.84%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -1.69%E -0.492%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -5.68%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag3.43I 29.15%NM 27.77%EV -1.69%E -0.492%K -0.694%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -5.68%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 15:24
Pinnacle3.37I 29.67%NM 28.28%EV -3.41%E -1.01%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.67%EV -5.05%E -1.99%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 02:54
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:49
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.83%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.75%EV -6.02%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:49
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 13:14
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 28.47%EV -5.70%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.06%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:04
Marathon Bet3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -5.99%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 08:00
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 22:15
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:19
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:20
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 08:00
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -9.92%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 16:29
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.85%E -2.11%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 02:43
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.23%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -0.273%E -0.093%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 16:24
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.23%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -0.273%E -0.093%K -0.140%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:14
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -4.29%E -1.68%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 08:19
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 17:15
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 01:15
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.03%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 12:49
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.28%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -9.92%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:28
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.05%EV -6.92%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -0.273%E -0.093%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:24
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.62%EV -10.57%E -3.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.68%EV -11.05%E -4.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 22:18
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 12:49
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -8.05%E -3.28%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:29
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.92%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:29
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -10.67%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -8.72%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 22:15
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.80%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -11.15%E -3.60%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -15.49%E -6.19%K -10.32%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-22 16:29
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -10.67%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 16:24
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -10.67%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -3.65%E -1.28%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -12.58%E -4.12%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -11.80%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -5.34%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 16:24
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -9.92%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.47%EV -10.41%E -3.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-21 02:35
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 29.79%EV -18.31%E -6.43%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.91%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.30%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.90%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-21 02:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.70%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.11%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.19%2.5%2026-04-23 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%5.2%2026-04-23 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%5.2%2026-04-23 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%5.2%2026-04-23 23:34
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%6.3%2026-04-24 03:45