StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield BA

Matchstart: 2026-04-20 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: San Lorenzo 0–0 Velez Sarsfield BA

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

San Lorenzo (Hemma)

Prognos 31.54%3.17rättvist odds
EV +2.49%
Fördel +0.767%
Kelly +1.11%
Tillväxt +0.028%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.02%31.41%31.59%32.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.962.953.2537.04%33.74%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta)

Prognos 35.34%2.83rättvist odds
EV -2.46%
Fördel -0.890%
Kelly -1.40%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.76

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.54%35.51%35.22%38.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.352.582.602.7642.55%38.72%38.46%36.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 33.12%3.02rättvist odds
EV -3.28%
Fördel -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.92

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.89%33.09%33.20%34.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.802.802.9240.00%35.70%35.71%34.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: San Lorenzo (Hemma): 31.54%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Borta): 35.34%; Oavgjort: 33.12%. För San Lorenzo (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.17. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.49%.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +2.49%E +0.767%K +1.11%G +0.028%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +2.49%E +0.767%K +1.11%G +0.028%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 22:25
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV +0.915%E +0.286%K +0.416%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:10
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 21:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -15.89%E -6.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 22:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -15.89%E -6.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -16.95%E -7.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -8.91%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 22:25
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -2.46%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -3.28%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 22:25
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.87%E -1.42%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -3.28%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -6.26%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -6.26%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:05
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 22:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.61%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 21:14
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 21:14
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.91%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.99%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.92%E -2.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 22:24
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 22:04
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 22:05
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 22:21
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 22:15
BetAnything🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 22:25
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 22:14
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 22:05
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 22:25
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 21:44
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 22:24
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 21:45
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -15.18%E -6.32%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -17.19%E -6.88%K -11.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-20 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 21:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.68%EV -16.24%E -6.85%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -12.23%E -4.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -10.75%E -3.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -9.91%E -3.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 22:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 22:15
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 22:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -14.85%E -5.50%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -13.41%E -5.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-20 22:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-04-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-04-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-04-20 22:15
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-04-20 22:15
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%1.5%2026-04-20 22:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.1%2026-04-20 22:10