La scuola delle quote

San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield BA

Inizio: 2026-04-20 22:30 UTC

Finale: San Lorenzo 0–0 Velez Sarsfield BA

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

San Lorenzo (Casa)

Previsione 31.54%3.17quota equa
EV +2.49%
Vantaggio +0.767%
Kelly +1.11%
Crescita +0.028%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.02%31.41%31.59%32.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.962.953.2537.04%33.74%33.90%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Velez Sarsfield BA (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.34%2.83quota equa
EV -2.46%
Vantaggio -0.890%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.54%35.51%35.22%38.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.582.602.7642.55%38.72%38.46%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 33.12%3.02quota equa
EV -3.28%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.89%33.09%33.20%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.802.802.9240.00%35.70%35.71%34.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +2.49%E +0.767%K +1.11%G +0.028%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 22:25
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +2.49%E +0.767%K +1.11%G +0.028%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 22:25
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV +0.915%E +0.286%K +0.416%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:10
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 21:10
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -15.89%E -6.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 22:24
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -15.89%E -6.67%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -16.95%E -7.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -8.91%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 22:25
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -2.46%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -3.28%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 22:25
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.87%E -1.42%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -3.28%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 22:25
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -6.26%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:05
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -6.26%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 22:05
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 22:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:09
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.61%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 21:14
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 21:14
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.91%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 22:24
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.99%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.92%E -2.85%K -4.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 22:24
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 22:04
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 22:05
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 22:21
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 22:15
BetAnything2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 22:25
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 22:14
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 22:05
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 22:25
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 21:44
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 22:24
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 21:45
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -15.18%E -6.32%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -17.19%E -6.88%K -11.46%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-20 22:10
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 21:45
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.68%EV -16.24%E -6.85%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -12.23%E -4.61%K -7.41%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-20 22:25
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -10.75%E -3.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -9.91%E -3.64%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-20 22:13
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 22:15
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 22:25
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 22:15
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -14.85%E -5.50%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -13.41%E -5.47%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-20 22:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-04-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-04-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-04-20 22:15
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-04-20 22:15
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%1.5%2026-04-20 22:25
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.1%2026-04-20 22:10