La escuela de los momiosEspañol
San Lorenzo v Velez Sarsfield BA
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Lorenzo (Local)
Predicción 31.54%3.17momio equitativo
EV +2.49%
Ventaja +0.767%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.02%31.41%31.59%32.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.962.953.2537.04%33.74%33.90%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Velez Sarsfield BA (Visitante)
Predicción 35.34%2.83momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.890%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.54%35.51%35.22%38.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.582.602.7642.55%38.72%38.46%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.12%3.02momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.89%33.09%33.20%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.802.802.9240.00%35.70%35.71%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +2.49%E +0.767%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV +2.49%E +0.767%K +1.11%G +0.028% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.19%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.66%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV +0.915%E +0.286%K +0.416%G +0.004% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.02%EV -12.35%E -4.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -3.95%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 22:10 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -15.89%E -6.67%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -15.89%E -6.67%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -2.24%E -0.722%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -16.95%E -7.21%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -8.91%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.82%EV -4.13%E -1.36%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -2.46%E -0.890%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.13%EV -3.28%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.80%EV -4.76%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -3.87%E -1.42%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -3.28%E -1.12%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -6.26%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.74%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.81%E -1.02%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.64%EV -6.26%E -2.21%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -4.61%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-20 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -4.94%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 21:14 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 21:14 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -5.39%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.91%E -3.24%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.40%EV -6.34%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -5.99%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.54%EV -7.92%E -2.85%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 22:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 22:04 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 22:21 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| BetAnything | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.97%E -2.36%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -4.58%E -1.70%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -6.34%E -2.39%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 22:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.55%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 21:44 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.40%E -2.83%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 22:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-20 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -9.18%E -3.19%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -15.18%E -6.32%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -17.19%E -6.88%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-20 22:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -7.26%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-20 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.51%EV -10.12%E -3.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.68%EV -16.24%E -6.85%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.81%EV -12.23%E -4.61%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -10.75%E -3.80%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -9.91%E -3.64%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-20 22:13 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -9.88%E -3.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -5.60%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -8.11%E -3.12%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.70%E -4.18%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.65%E -4.66%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -14.85%E -5.50%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -13.41%E -5.47%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.24%EV -10.57%E -3.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28% | 1.5% | 2026-04-20 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.09% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.1% | 2026-04-20 22:10 |