L’École des cotes

San Lorenzo v Estudiantes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 22:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Lorenzo (Local)

Prévision 27.93%3.58cote équitable
EV -0.571%
Avantage -0.160%
Kelly -0.223%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.79%27.92%27.94%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.5632.26%30.22%30.30%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Estudiantes (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.07%2.63cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.04%38.05%38.03%38.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.272.422.442.5544.05%41.37%40.98%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.00%2.94cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.599%
Kelly -0.915%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.27%34.03%34.03%35.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.732.8940.00%36.79%36.63%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -0.571%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.06%EV -7.51%E -2.76%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 22:20
BetOnline.ag3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -0.571%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.06%EV -7.51%E -2.76%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 22:20
1xBet3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -0.851%E -0.240%K -0.334%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.55%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -5.13%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 22:15
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.75%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -1.73%E -0.599%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 22:25
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 22:05
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 22:25
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 22:25
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 22:10
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 22:10
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.60%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -7.50%E -3.09%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.83%E -2.49%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 22:25
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 22:20
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 22:20
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 22:10
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 22:15
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 22:15
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 22:25
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 22:24
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 22:25
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 22:15
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 22:15
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 22:25
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 22:25
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-03 22:25
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.47%EV -11.68%E -5.04%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.91%E -4.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 22:08
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 22:04
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 22:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.91%E -4.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 22:25
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-03 22:09
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 22:20
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -9.40%E -3.95%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-03 22:25
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-03 22:10
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -13.59%E -5.99%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.77%EV -12.61%E -4.91%K -8.03%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-03 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -14.99%E -6.00%K -9.99%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-03 22:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30%0.5%2026-04-03 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30%0.5%2026-04-03 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%0.8%2026-04-03 22:15
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%0.8%2026-04-03 22:20
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%1.4%2026-04-03 22:25
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-04-03 22:15