La escuela de los momiosEspañol
San Lorenzo v Estudiantes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Lorenzo (Local)
Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV -0.571%
Ventaja -0.160%
Kelly -0.223%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.79%27.92%27.94%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.5632.26%30.22%30.30%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Estudiantes (Visitante)
Predicción 38.07%2.63momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.05%38.03%38.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.272.422.442.5544.05%41.37%40.98%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 34.00%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.599%
Kelly -0.915%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.27%34.03%34.03%35.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.722.732.8940.00%36.79%36.63%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -0.571%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.06%EV -7.51%E -2.76%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -0.571%E -0.160%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.06%EV -7.51%E -2.76%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV -0.851%E -0.240%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.55%EV -5.21%E -2.09%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.41%EV -5.13%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 22:15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.75%EV -2.53%E -0.724%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.74%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.51%EV -1.73%E -0.599%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 22:05 |
| Unibet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 22:10 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 22:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.60%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -7.50%E -3.09%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.83%E -2.49%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| Everygame | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.44%E -1.92%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.93%E -1.15%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 22:10 |
| Betsson | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 22:15 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.83%E -1.93%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 22:24 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.74%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 22:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.83%E -2.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.54%E -4.49%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -11.30%E -4.85%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -9.23%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.47%EV -11.68%E -5.04%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.91%E -4.16%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 22:08 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 22:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -10.91%E -4.16%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -10.63%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-03 22:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -12.02%E -3.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -8.64%E -3.60%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -8.19%E -3.03%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.61%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.27%EV -9.40%E -3.95%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-03 22:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -13.59%E -5.99%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.77%EV -12.61%E -4.91%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.42%E -4.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -12.45%E -5.41%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -14.99%E -6.00%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 22:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26% | 1.4% | 2026-04-03 22:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.0% | 2026-04-03 22:15 |