Language:English
Rosario Central v Sarmiento de Junin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rosario Central (Local)
Prediction 64.99%1.54fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.91%64.90%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.441.5073.53%69.94%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sarmiento de Junin (Visit)
Prediction 12.15%8.23fair odd
EV +9.36%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.110%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.56%12.20%12.19%14.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.647.509.0016.00%13.09%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.86%4.37fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -0.806%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%22.89%22.90%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.994.004.2628.57%25.09%25.00%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 64.99%; Sarmiento de Junin (Visit): 12.15%; Draw: 22.86%. For Sarmiento de Junin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.98%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +9.36%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.110% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -7.43%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.98%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +9.36%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.110% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -7.43%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-19 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.27%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 8.73I 11.45%NM 11.01%EV +6.08%E +0.697%K +0.787%G +0.048% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.72%EV -3.31%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.29%E +0.387%K +0.439%G +0.014% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.67%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 8.11I 12.33%NM 11.82%EV -1.45%E -0.179%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -2.63%E -0.617%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-19 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.15%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 23:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.45%EV -11.61%E -8.54%K -32.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.80%EV -4.00%E -0.507%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.43%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.21%EV -6.43%E -0.835%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.21%EV -6.43%E -0.835%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 23:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 23:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-19 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.02%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.03%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -2.51%E -1.68%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 23:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.23%EV -9.66%E -6.95%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.01%EV -11.31%E -2.92%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.09%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -20.00%E -5.71%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -17.98%E -2.66%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.51%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -24.05%E -3.85%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-19 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 0.3% | 2026-04-19 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 0.3% | 2026-04-19 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 0.3% | 2026-04-19 23:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 0.3% | 2026-04-19 23:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.23% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34% | 2.0% | 2026-04-19 23:20 |