L’École des cotes

Rosario Central v Sarmiento de Junin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 23:30 UTC

Score final : Rosario Central 2–1 Sarmiento de Junin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Prévision 64.99%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -5.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%64.91%64.90%66.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.441.5073.53%69.94%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sarmiento de Junin (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.15%8.23cote équitable
EV +9.36%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.56%12.20%12.19%14.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.257.647.509.0016.00%13.09%13.33%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.86%4.37cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.617%
Kelly -0.806%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.04%22.89%22.90%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.994.004.2628.57%25.09%25.00%23.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.98%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +9.36%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.110%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -7.43%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 65.98%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.56%EV +9.36%E +1.04%K +1.17%G +0.110%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46%EV -7.43%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 23:05
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.27%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000%8.73I 11.45%NM 11.01%EV +6.08%E +0.697%K +0.787%G +0.048%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.72%EV -3.31%E -0.783%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 23:25
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV +3.29%E +0.387%K +0.439%G +0.014%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 23:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.67%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%8.11I 12.33%NM 11.82%EV -1.45%E -0.179%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -2.63%E -0.617%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 23:25
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.15%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 23:25
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 23:05
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 23:09
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 23:10
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 23:00
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 23:09
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.45%EV -11.61%E -8.54%K -32.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV -2.79%E -0.348%K -0.398%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.42%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-19 23:10
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.80%EV -4.00%E -0.507%K -0.580%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -7.43%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 23:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.21%EV -6.43%E -0.835%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 23:00
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.85%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.21%EV -6.43%E -0.835%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 23:05
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 23:10
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.00%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.57%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 23:10
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 23:19
BetAnything1.46I 68.49%NM 64.12%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 23:20
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.70%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 23:15
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.66%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 23:05
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.02%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.21%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.78%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 23:15
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 23:10
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.70%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 23:10
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.78%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.03%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -8.86%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.92%EV -2.51%E -1.68%K -5.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 23:01
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.42%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 23:25
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -7.06%E -4.94%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.23%EV -9.66%E -6.95%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.01%EV -11.31%E -2.92%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 23:10
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.56%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-19 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.09%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -9.01%E -6.44%K -22.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.94%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -20.00%E -5.71%K -8.00%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -17.98%E -2.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -6.28%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.51%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.02%EV -24.05%E -3.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.44%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-04-19 23:20
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.23%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-04-19 23:20