The School of Odds

Rosario Central v Racing Club

2026-07-29 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Prediction 41.54%2.41fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -3.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.52%41.54%41.51%42.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.202.3050%46%45%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Racing Club (Visit)

Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -5.51%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.10%26.84%26.83%27.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.5232%30%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.98%31.62%31.66%32.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.832.803.0038%35%36%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.28%EV -4.47%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.75%EV -5.45%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 17:04
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -6.13%E -2.71%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -7.12%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.81%EV -7.35%E -2.51%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 16:59
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 17:24
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:54
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.54%E -2.91%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.72%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 16:54
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.62%E -3.92%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 16:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -10.70%E -4.98%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -14.10%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.62%E -5.42%K -8.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-17 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -14.85%E -7.24%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -11.46%E -4.09%K -6.37%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-17 16:54
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.01%EV -14.85%E -7.24%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -14.62%E -5.42%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-17 16:54
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -14.85%E -7.24%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.39%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -14.62%E -5.42%K -8.60%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-17 16:54
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.67%EV -16.93%E -8.46%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.88%EV -16.79%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.45%EV -16.20%E -6.11%K -9.82%G +0.000%20.0%2026-07-17 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.