Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 4.35
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rosario Central (Local): 45.97%; Racing Club (Visit): 23.73%; Draw: 30.30%. For Racing Club (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV +3.24%E +0.745%K +0.967%G +0.031% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV +3.24%E +0.745%K +0.967%G +0.031% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.12%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV +3.24%E +0.745%K +0.967%G +0.031% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.67%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-28 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.39%EV -6.23%E -3.05%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.39%EV -6.23%E -3.05%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.64%EV -7.15%E -3.54%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%EV -8.07%E -4.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -2.69%E -0.657%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.09%EV -3.47%E -1.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.66%EV -2.93%E -0.717%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.69%EV -4.83%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.25%EV -6.69%E -3.29%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -10.37%E -5.32%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.07%E -1.27%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-28 23:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%EV -4.39%E -2.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.08%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.64%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -10.37%E -5.32%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -10.37%E -5.32%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.25%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-28 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -6.23%E -3.05%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -6.97%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.48%EV -7.28%E -2.38%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 23:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -10.37%E -5.32%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-29 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.53%EV -11.29%E -5.85%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.44%E -1.91%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.13%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.15%EV -13.12%E -6.94%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -8.63%E -2.24%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-28 23:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -5.77%E -2.81%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 00:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.37%E -5.32%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.81%E -2.58%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.19%EV -11.29%E -5.85%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.59%EV -10.29%E -2.72%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-28 23:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.07%E -4.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-28 23:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.99%E -4.54%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-28 23:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.68%EV -8.07%E -4.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -10.37%E -5.32%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -11.00%E -2.93%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.07%E -4.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-28 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.71%EV -11.74%E -6.12%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -12.19%E -3.29%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.58%EV -13.04%E -4.54%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-29 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -10.83%E -5.58%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -13.37%E -3.66%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-28 23:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22% | 0.3% | 2026-07-29 00:05 |