La escuela de los momios

Rosario Central v Racing Club

2026-07-29 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rosario Central (Local)

Predicción 41.50%2.41momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.73%41.57%41.49%43.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.252.3250.00%45.14%44.44%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Racing Club (Visitante)

Predicción 26.90%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.69%26.89%26.89%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.413.423.6032.26%29.33%29.20%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.60%3.16momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.26%31.54%31.61%32.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.942.953.0537.04%34.07%33.90%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -3.73%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -3.61%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 05:44
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.10%EV -3.73%E -1.61%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.26%EV -3.61%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 09:05
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.27%EV -4.14%E -1.79%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.88%EV -5.50%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 16:20
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -4.56%E -1.98%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 15:50
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.48%EV -4.97%E -2.17%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.06%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.45%EV -4.56%E -1.51%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 10:10
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.85%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.85%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 00:20
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.16%E -0.879%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 00:15
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.16%E -0.879%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 02:20
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.61%E -1.18%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 03:55
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.45%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 10:00
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.77%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 07:06
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.77%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 00:19
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.54%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.77%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 07:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.23%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 04:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.23%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 19:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.54%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 17:05
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.54%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 05:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 10:05
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 00:25
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -6.63%E -2.95%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -6.77%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 10:05
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -7.46%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 03:50
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -7.46%E -3.35%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 03:50
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -8.71%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 03:50
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.71%E -3.96%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.23%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 03:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -10.78%E -5.01%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.23%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.19%E -1.73%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 09:45
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.78%E -5.01%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -16.61%E -5.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -8.98%E -3.12%K -4.78%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-26 00:20
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -11.20%E -5.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 03:50
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -11.20%E -5.23%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -7.20%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.35%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.24%EV -12.03%E -5.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.54%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.42%EV -9.93%E -3.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 03:50
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.53%EV -12.03%E -5.67%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -11.23%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.79%EV -12.46%E -4.50%K -7.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 00:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.14%EV -12.86%E -6.12%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -11.23%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.05%EV -9.93%E -3.48%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-24 22:35
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.13%EV -13.69%E -6.58%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.00%EV -9.35%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.87%EV -13.09%E -4.76%K -7.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-21 00:18
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.49%EV -14.93%E -7.28%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.00%EV -15.27%E -4.85%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.50%EV -14.67%E -5.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-24 22:34
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -17.01%E -8.50%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.69%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -13.09%E -4.76%K -7.48%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-23 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%5.2%2026-07-26 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%5.2%2026-07-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.90%5.2%2026-07-26 10:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.29%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.81%6.2%2026-07-26 10:25