Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors

Inizio: 2026-09-20 20:00 UTC

Finale: Rosario Central 1–0 Argentinos Juniors

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rosario Central (Casa)

Previsione 48.03%2.08quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.72%
Kelly -3.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.61%47.98%48.16%49.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.931.942.0154.64%51.75%51.55%49.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Argentinos Juniors (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.71%4.40quota equa
EV +1.07%
Vantaggio +0.240%
Kelly +0.310%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.39%22.73%22.62%24.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.654.074.004.4527.40%24.60%25.00%22.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.26%3.42quota equa
EV -2.57%
Vantaggio -0.772%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.70%29.30%29.22%30.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.153.153.3333.90%31.79%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rosario Central (Casa): 48.03%; Argentinos Juniors (Trasferta): 22.71%; Pareggio: 29.26%. Per Argentinos Juniors (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.40. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.45, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.07%.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +1.07%E +0.240%K +0.310%G +0.003%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.57%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +1.07%E +0.240%K +0.310%G +0.003%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.57%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 19:39
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +1.07%E +0.240%K +0.310%G +0.003%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.57%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 19:34
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.08%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.88%EV +0.388%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -2.57%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 19:49
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.067%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 19:34
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.067%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 19:34
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.95%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV -1.20%E -0.276%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -3.16%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 19:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 19:37
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.47%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 19:34
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 19:34
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 19:49
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.82%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 19:54
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 19:42
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -3.46%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 19:34
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 18:59
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 19:43
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 19:04
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 19:04
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 19:34
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.10%EV -9.70%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 19:04
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -11.14%E -6.02%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 19:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -12.10%E -6.61%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 19:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -6.82%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 18:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -9.70%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.69%E -4.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 19:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.53%EV -11.62%E -6.32%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-20 19:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -10.18%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -15.97%E -4.31%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.42%EV -12.81%E -4.30%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -17.10%E -4.69%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 18:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 19:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 19:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-09-20 19:54
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-09-20 19:34
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-09-20 19:54