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Rosario Central v Argentinos Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosario Central (Local)
Predicción 48.03%2.08momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.61%47.98%48.16%49.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.942.0154.64%51.75%51.55%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Argentinos Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 22.71%4.40momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.240%
Kelly +0.310%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.39%22.73%22.62%24.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.074.004.4527.40%24.60%25.00%22.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.26%3.42momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.772%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.70%29.30%29.22%30.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.153.153.3333.90%31.79%31.75%30.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rosario Central (Local): 48.03%; Argentinos Juniors (Visitante): 22.71%; Empate: 29.26%. Para Argentinos Juniors (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.40. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.07%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +1.07%E +0.240%K +0.310%G +0.003% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.57%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +1.07%E +0.240%K +0.310%G +0.003% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.57%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.71%EV +1.07%E +0.240%K +0.310%G +0.003% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -2.57%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.08%EV -5.38%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.88%EV +0.388%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -2.57%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.067%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.067%E -0.015%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.95%EV -5.86%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%EV -1.20%E -0.276%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.99%EV -3.16%E -0.954%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -2.34%E -0.544%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 19:37 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -7.30%E -3.78%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.47%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.91%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.82%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 19:42 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.93%EV -3.46%E -1.72%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.94%E -1.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -4.90%E -2.47%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.26%E -4.33%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 19:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 19:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.38%E -1.99%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -8.74%E -4.60%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.34%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.29%E -2.60%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.10%EV -9.70%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 19:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -11.14%E -6.02%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -11.42%E -2.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -12.10%E -6.61%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.56%E -3.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.69%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.83%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -6.82%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.84%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 18:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -9.70%E -5.16%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.69%E -4.64%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.53%EV -11.62%E -6.32%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.32%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -12.23%E -4.08%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -10.18%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -15.97%E -4.31%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.42%EV -12.81%E -4.30%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.61%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -17.10%E -4.69%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -9.30%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |