La escuela de los momiosRiver Plate v Boca Juniors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
River Plate (Local)
Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.623%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.87%42.18%42.14%42.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.202.202.4148.78%45.43%45.45%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Boca Juniors (Visitante)
Predicción 26.02%3.84momio equitativo
EV +2.54%
Ventaja +0.644%
Kelly +0.863%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.54%26.02%25.95%28.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.523.503.9431.25%28.39%28.57%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.86%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.399%
Kelly -0.589%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.35%31.80%31.91%32.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.922.903.1038.02%34.30%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.79%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.54%EV +2.54%E +0.644%K +0.863%G +0.022% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%EV -5.70%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.85%EV -0.326%E -0.085%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -6.50%E -2.93%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.85%EV -0.326%E -0.085%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.35%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.71%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -8.57%E -2.98%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -4.23%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.27%EV -7.93%E -2.74%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 19:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.03%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -8.25%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.01%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -8.25%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -8.25%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 19:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 19:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.44%EV -6.08%E -2.73%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -1.24%E -0.399%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 19:30 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.44%EV -6.08%E -2.73%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -1.24%E -0.399%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-19 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -1.24%E -0.399%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 19:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 19:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 19:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -9.87%E -4.61%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.68%EV -9.87%E -4.61%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.52%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.42%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.87%EV +1.50%E +0.623%K +1.06%G +0.016% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.52%EV -12.30%E -3.65%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.61%EV -3.15%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -12.82%E -3.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-19 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.53%EV -10.71%E -5.05%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -12.82%E -3.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.96%EV -10.29%E -4.83%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.82%E -3.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.42%EV -13.66%E -6.66%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -12.82%E -3.83%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -12.39%E -4.50%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-19 19:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.34%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.61%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.45%E -4.39%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -14.12%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-19 19:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.43%EV -15.42%E -4.74%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.66%EV -16.21%E -6.16%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-19 19:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -11.55%E -5.50%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -16.72%E -5.23%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.20%E -3.23%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63% | 0.5% | 2026-04-19 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.77% | 1.7% | 2026-04-19 19:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.68% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.12% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 17:01 |