La scuola delle quote

River Plate v Banfield

Inizio: 2026-02-26 22:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

River Plate (Casa)

Previsione 57.35%1.74quota equa
EV -4.22%
Vantaggio -2.53%
Kelly -6.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.93%57.46%57.33%61.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.461.591.601.6768.49%62.81%62.50%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Banfield (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.86%5.93quota equa
EV +2.83%
Vantaggio +0.464%
Kelly +0.555%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.19%16.85%16.89%18.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.605.506.1020.83%17.87%18.18%16.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.79%3.88quota equa
EV +3.16%
Vantaggio +0.789%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescita +0.033%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.43%25.69%25.79%27.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.613.604.0032.26%27.70%27.78%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV +3.16%E +0.789%K +1.05%G +0.033%6.3%2026-02-26 22:24
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV +3.16%E +0.789%K +1.05%G +0.033%6.3%2026-02-26 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -13.40%E -8.87%K -26.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV +1.87%E +0.473%K +0.633%G +0.012%7.9%2026-02-26 22:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -14.54%E -9.76%K -29.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV +0.578%E +0.148%K +0.199%G +0.001%9.4%2026-02-26 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -14.54%E -9.76%K -29.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV +0.578%E +0.148%K +0.199%G +0.001%9.4%2026-02-26 22:24
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.01%EV -10.53%E -6.75%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.00%E -0.527%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:54
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.06%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.45%EV -1.22%E -0.207%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.50%EV -2.52%E -0.666%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 22:25
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.32%EV -0.878%E -0.149%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 22:14
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.03%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 22:19
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:09
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:09
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 21:45
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.81%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 21:55
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.81%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 21:54
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:25
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:25
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 21:45
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 22:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 22:14
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.81%E -5.54%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:18
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 22:19
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 22:19
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -3.91%E -0.686%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.67%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 22:20
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -6.51%E -4.00%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -11.50%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 21:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 21:49
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.79%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -19.08%E -3.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-26 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.29%EV -10.53%E -6.75%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -11.50%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.68%EV -10.25%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-26 22:19
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 22:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.39%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -12.34%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-26 22:20
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 22:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 22:05
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.82%EV -13.97%E -9.31%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.68%EV -12.34%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-26 22:14
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.90%E -4.51%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 22:19
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.51%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.84%EV -10.66%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -18.76%E -5.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-26 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.05%E -6.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-26 22:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-02-26 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-02-26 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-02-26 22:20
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-02-26 22:24
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-02-26 22:20