L’École des cotes

River Plate v Banfield

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 22:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

River Plate (Local)

Prévision 57.35%1.74cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -6.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.93%57.46%57.33%61.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.591.601.6768.49%62.81%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Banfield (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.86%5.93cote équitable
EV +2.83%
Avantage +0.464%
Kelly +0.555%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 6.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.19%16.85%16.89%18.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.605.506.1020.83%17.87%18.18%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.79%3.88cote équitable
EV +3.16%
Avantage +0.789%
Kelly +1.05%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.43%25.69%25.79%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.613.604.0032.26%27.70%27.78%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV +3.16%E +0.789%K +1.05%G +0.033%6.3%2026-02-26 22:24
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV +3.16%E +0.789%K +1.05%G +0.033%6.3%2026-02-26 22:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -13.40%E -8.87%K -26.27%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV +1.87%E +0.473%K +0.633%G +0.012%7.9%2026-02-26 22:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -14.54%E -9.76%K -29.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV +0.578%E +0.148%K +0.199%G +0.001%9.4%2026-02-26 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -14.54%E -9.76%K -29.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV +0.578%E +0.148%K +0.199%G +0.001%9.4%2026-02-26 22:24
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.01%EV -10.53%E -6.75%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.00%E -0.527%K -0.715%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 21:54
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.06%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.45%EV -1.22%E -0.207%K -0.250%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.50%EV -2.52%E -0.666%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 22:25
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.32%EV -0.878%E -0.149%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 22:14
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 22:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.03%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-26 22:19
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:09
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:09
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 21:45
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.81%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 21:55
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.81%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 21:54
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:25
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:25
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 21:45
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 22:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-26 22:14
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.81%E -5.54%K -14.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:18
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 22:19
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-26 22:19
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -3.91%E -0.686%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.67%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-26 22:20
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -6.51%E -4.00%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -11.50%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-26 21:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 22:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-26 21:49
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.79%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -19.08%E -3.98%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-26 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.29%EV -10.53%E -6.75%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -11.50%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.68%EV -10.25%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-26 22:19
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 22:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.39%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -12.34%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-26 22:20
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-26 22:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 22:05
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.82%EV -13.97%E -9.31%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.68%EV -12.34%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-26 22:14
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.90%E -4.51%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-26 22:19
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.51%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.84%EV -10.66%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -18.76%E -5.96%K -8.73%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-26 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.05%E -6.47%K -9.55%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-26 22:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-02-26 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-02-26 22:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-02-26 22:20
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90%0.3%2026-02-26 22:24
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-02-26 22:20