La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
River Plate v Banfield
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
River Plate (Local)
Predicción 57.35%1.74momio equitativo
EV -4.22%
Ventaja -2.53%
Kelly -6.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.93%57.46%57.33%61.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.591.601.6768.49%62.81%62.50%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Banfield (Visitante)
Predicción 16.86%5.93momio equitativo
EV +2.83%
Ventaja +0.464%
Kelly +0.555%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.19%16.85%16.89%18.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.605.506.1020.83%17.87%18.18%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.79%3.88momio equitativo
EV +3.16%
Ventaja +0.789%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.033%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.43%25.69%25.79%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.613.604.0032.26%27.70%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV +3.16%E +0.789%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 22:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV +3.16%E +0.789%K +1.05%G +0.033% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 22:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.36%EV -13.40%E -8.87%K -26.27%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV +1.87%E +0.473%K +0.633%G +0.012% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -14.54%E -9.76%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV +0.578%E +0.148%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 22:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -14.54%E -9.76%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV +0.578%E +0.148%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 9.4% | 2026-02-26 22:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.01%EV -10.53%E -6.75%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +2.83%E +0.464%K +0.555%G +0.016% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.00%E -0.527%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 21:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.06%EV -4.79%E -2.89%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.45%EV -1.22%E -0.207%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.50%EV -2.52%E -0.666%K -0.905%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 22:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.16%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.32%EV -0.878%E -0.149%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.52%EV -3.03%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -14.03%E -2.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -4.58%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-26 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 22:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.67%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.79%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 22:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.78%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 21:45 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.81%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.80%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.52%EV -9.81%E -1.83%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 21:54 |
| Bovada | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -8.23%E -5.15%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.87%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 22:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -4.22%E -2.53%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 21:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 22:10 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -5.37%E -3.25%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-26 22:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.81%E -5.54%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 22:18 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 22:19 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.16%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-26 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -3.91%E -0.686%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.67%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -6.51%E -4.00%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.54%EV -11.50%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -8.45%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-26 21:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.86%EV -7.66%E -4.76%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.09%E -4.38%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-26 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 56.79%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -19.08%E -3.98%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -9.74%E -2.78%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.29%EV -10.53%E -6.75%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -11.50%E -2.19%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.68%EV -10.25%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-26 22:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV +1.14%E +0.191%K +0.229%G +0.003% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 22:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.39%EV -11.68%E -7.58%K -21.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.00%EV -12.34%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -11.03%E -3.20%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -9.38%E -5.94%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -3.07%E -0.534%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-26 22:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.23%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-26 22:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.82%EV -13.97%E -9.31%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.68%EV -12.34%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -12.32%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-26 22:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.78%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -7.28%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.90%E -4.51%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-26 22:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 57.51%EV -16.26%E -11.14%K -35.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.84%EV -10.66%E -2.01%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.65%EV -18.76%E -5.96%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.93%EV -9.96%E -6.34%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.25%EV -15.71%E -3.14%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.05%E -6.47%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-26 22:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90% | 0.3% | 2026-02-26 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90% | 0.3% | 2026-02-26 22:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90% | 0.3% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.00% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.90% | 0.3% | 2026-02-26 22:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |