L’École des cotesRiver Plate v Atlético Tucuman
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
River Plate (Local)
Prévision 60.88%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -6.57%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.89%61.09%60.87%63.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.511.521.5870.92%66.11%65.79%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atlético Tucuman (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.11%6.62cote équitable
EV +8.51%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.117%
avec la cote maximale 7.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.16%14.97%15.16%16.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.256.257.1818.52%16.00%16.00%13.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.01%4.17cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.323%
Kelly -0.427%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.11
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.99%23.93%23.97%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.833.864.1130.30%26.09%25.91%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.85%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.16%EV +8.51%E +1.19%K +1.38%G +0.117% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.99%EV -1.33%E -0.323%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.15%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +5.79%E +0.827%K +0.965%G +0.056% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +5.79%E +0.827%K +0.965%G +0.056% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%EV -8.07%E -5.35%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.79%EV +4.28%E +0.620%K +0.725%G +0.031% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -1.57%E -0.382%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.81%EV -3.81%E -2.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.36%EV +1.10%E +0.165%K +0.194%G +0.002% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.83%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.81%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -3.97%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.28%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.28%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.52%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.09%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.44%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 21:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.08%EV -12.33%E -8.57%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -1.77%E -0.272%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.760%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.85%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.97%EV -4.79%E -0.760%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.29%E -6.23%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.13%EV -9.29%E -6.23%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.26%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.41%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.34%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.33%EV -12.33%E -8.57%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.13%EV -5.55%E -0.887%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -6.30%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -8.29%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.97%E -0.992%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 21:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.03%E -3.22%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.17%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 21:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.57%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.85%E -4.48%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.97%E -2.66%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.09%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.46%E -4.91%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -13.57%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.68%EV -14.16%E -10.04%K -34.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.49%EV -9.32%E -1.55%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -12.37%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.50%EV -9.90%E -6.69%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -10.83%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.33%EV -11.65%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 21:11 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.74%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.13%EV -10.83%E -1.84%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -6.25%E -4.06%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -13.10%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.61%EV -5.64%E -3.64%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -13.10%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.77%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -13.86%E -2.43%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.37%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.89%EV -8.68%E -5.79%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.79%EV -16.88%E -3.07%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -20.77%E -6.29%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-03 21:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -10.51%E -7.15%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.31%EV -18.39%E -3.41%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -11.17%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-03 21:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.87% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.72% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 21:26 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.09% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.61% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.30% | 2.9% | 2026-05-03 21:25 |